NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd311f31f24fc009f37157404c55e1d0b93c7654945a2f4e6f10eb4a072d1e9d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Ducks, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,165,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,165,078 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Senators | 61c | 367,250$225,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142,155.52 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Senators | 61c | 362,079$222,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,745.27 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Ducks | 38c | 265,000$100,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,700 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…8057backed Ducks | 40c | 117,513$46,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,505.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Ducks | 39c | 107,904$42,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,490.82 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 38c | 58,531$22,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,323.29 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Ducks | 39c | 51,500$20,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,085 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 36c | 32,588$11,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,581.14 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Ducks | 39c | 29,833$11,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,565.34 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Ducks | 41c | 24,193$9,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.21 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Ducks | 38c | 22,519$8,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,557.4 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Senators | 61c | 20,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ducks | 38c | 18,888$7,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,177.44 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Ducks | 38c | 16,120$6,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Senators | 61c | 15,122$9,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.41 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Ducks | 39c | 14,940$5,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,769.15 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,069.96 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Ducks | 39c | 12,559$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Senators | 59c | 11,864$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,864.24 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Ducks | 9c | 10,402$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Ducks | 40c | 9,664$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.63 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Ducks | 37c | 7,869$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Ducks | 40c | 6,983$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.98 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 77c | 6,796$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Ducks | 38c | 6,510$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.89 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Ducks | 38c | 6,333$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.54 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Senators | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 60c | 4,949$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 62c | 4,547$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Senators | 60c | 4,444$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Ducks | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.97 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Senators | 61c | 3,720$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.11 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 38c | 3,600$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Ducks | 38c | 3,465$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Ducks | 8c | 3,333$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Ducks | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.86 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 62c | 3,225$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.5 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Ducks | 14c | 3,189$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Senators | 60c | 3,165$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.13 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Ducks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Ducks | 39c | 3,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…37cbbacked Senators | 61c | 2,950$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Ducks | 40c | 2,800$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.8 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Senators | 59c | 2,730$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.3 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Ducks | 38c | 2,420$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Senators | 62c | 2,308$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Ducks | 39c | 2,195$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.26 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Ducks | 39c | 2,190$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 9c | 2,188$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.26 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Ducks | 41c | 1,671$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.03 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Ducks | 38c | 1,659$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.42 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ducks | 32c | 1,563$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.01 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Ducks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 39c | 1,423$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Ducks | 38c | 1,350$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Senators | 59c | 1,343$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Ducks | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Ducks | 27c | 1,289$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.82 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Ducks | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 62c | 1,234$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.91 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Ducks | 28c | 1,195$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.18 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ducks | 4c | 1,159$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Senators | 63c | 1,157$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.16 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…a97dbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed Senators | 59c | 1,080$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…a94bbacked Ducks | 40c | 1,061$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.69 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Ducks | 40c | 1,028$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb85…bf3ebacked Senators | 62c | 1,010$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Ducks | 21c | 1,001$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…ce77backed Ducks | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Senators | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Ducks | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…7a83backed Ducks | 40c | 977$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Senators | 61c | 973.77$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.77 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…1a00backed Ducks | 40c | 912$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Ducks | 40c | 890$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0fefbacked Senators | 64c | 862.36$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2df7backed Senators | 60c | 840$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Senators | 62c | 827.06$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Ducks | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ducks | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Senators | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Ducks | 39c | 728.21$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Ducks | 39c | 717.17$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ducks | 39c | 700$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…f5edbacked Ducks | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ducks | 38c | 692.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…a0a6backed Ducks | 41c | 680$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Ducks | 38c | 658$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Senators | 59c | 655.08$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.56 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Ducks | 30c | 633.96$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Senators | 62c | 628.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.91 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ducks | 8c | 623.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Ducks | 38c | 622.5$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…0b1cbacked Senators | 61c | 620$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Senatorsthis page
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.