NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe844c48ef8c5aef6756a35511c34114def71fe79a7ce47f16ed3437c20c0062
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,828 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 26,130$13,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,587.57 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 22,696$11,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,570.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 14,775$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.51 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Under | 48c | 12,147$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,316.39 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 11,205$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.99 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 10,745$5,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,495.32 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cd…6ef3backed Under | 50c | 10,001$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,023.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…dc6fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 50c | 8,001$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,001.07 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 50c | 5,002$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 3,305$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.62 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 50c | 2,700$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 51c | 2,355$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 1,960$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.12 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…c442backed Under | 51c | 1,959$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 1,920$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.93 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,872$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.37 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,735$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.24 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 50c | 1,432$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 49c | 1,329$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.32 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,230$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 50c | 1,129$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.89 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 1,046$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.7 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 1,044$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 1,021$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.5 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 51c | 947.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.85 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 936.84$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.76 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 54c | 909.06$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.53 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 907.48$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.45 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 50c | 829.37$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.69 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 51c | 800.63$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 45c | 779.26$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.15 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 741.22$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 49c | 614.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 560.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 51c | 459.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 49c | 427.15$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…5d95backed Under | 50c | 405.64$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…db34backed Over | 50c | 405.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…4aa4backed Under | 50c | 405.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…86b8backed Under | 50c | 404.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x393b…7d68backed Over | 51c | 400.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…0334backed Over | 51c | 400.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…8811backed Over | 51c | 400.52$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…4e87backed Under | 51c | 400.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 49c | 292.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…5a44backed Over | 51c | 291.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 50c | 278.12$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 51c | 275.79$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 51c | 274.88$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ce…d766backed Over | 51c | 247$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…f800backed Over | 44c | 228.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 53c | 226.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 218.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 52c | 199.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Over | 52c | 189.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 52c | 182.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 51c | 167.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…ceb9backed Under | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…5bf7backed Over | 50c | 164.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b91…196ebacked Over | 50c | 157.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 50c | 155.08$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…37ebbacked Under | 51c | 155$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 144.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 50c | 142.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 51c | 133.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 50c | 102.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 50c | 102.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 54c | 93.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 89.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Under | 49c | 86.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…8de2backed Over | 53c | 86.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9e20backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…87cdbacked Over | 50c | 79.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…4c56backed Under | 51c | 74.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 72.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.