TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Tech Red Raidersof Cincinnati Bearcats, Texas Tech Red Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,036
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,270

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,036 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Bearcats1c6,548$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.481,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c4,392$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.7627947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Cincinnati Bearcats5c4,309$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8555840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders72c3,698$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.431,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Bearcats33c2,345$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.4734943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c2,325$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.052,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders72c1,834$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.522665.4%17 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c1,817$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.121,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders58c1,705$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cincinnati Bearcats35c1,636$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.852,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats43c1,590$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Bearcats24c1,478$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.825130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Texas Tech Red Raiders73c1,236$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.611,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c1,165$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.561,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders59c1,162$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.641,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…7e92backed Texas Tech Red Raiders58c1,162$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.351442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders61c933.61$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2743450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Cincinnati Bearcats6c888.58$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c886.56$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.244143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c588.33$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7344549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…7a8ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats41c583.12$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.083452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders72c543.26$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.114548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats20c525.88$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c504.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2414325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14155532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c500$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.562,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders61c428.11$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c373.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c337.78$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.682,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders71c276.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.331,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Texas Tech Red Raiders59c258$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Cincinnati Bearcats30c251.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3416436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c243.62$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6514244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc484…4123backed Cincinnati Bearcats50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4c0…dac7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders50c200.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+60.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Bearcats29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders64c189.4$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.695,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c187.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.642,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c185.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5412141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c177.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.654,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c173.77$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.658555.3%47 W · 38 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders58c171.74$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5940252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Cincinnati Bearcats30c166.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c162.02$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cincinnati Bearcats34c157.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7639742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders79c157.03$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Cincinnati Bearcats13c153.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.928432.1%27 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cincinnati Bearcats29c149.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.044,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c139.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c136.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.725844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26a2…c5bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders73c136.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats31c133.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.743,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Bearcats36c126.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders70c115$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.838345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats40c112.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.621936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Cincinnati Bearcats28c106.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.793718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x8fce…b694backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…1605backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a3…6818backed Texas Tech Red Raiders80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x663a…4508backed Cincinnati Bearcats20c99.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e1…41cfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats20c99.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cf…c031backed Cincinnati Bearcats20c99.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…6be7backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c99.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.79273.7%1 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.31per pick35cpaid-94.5%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Cincinnati Bearcats30c99.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders62c99.18$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6913956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb747…3f1bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats28c97.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats33c82.36$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.443560%21 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders62c71.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats15c70.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.483246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed Cincinnati Bearcats26c69.54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8650%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Tech Red Raiders67c60.77$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.963,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80df…87fcbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders74c53.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.791952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Texas Tech Red Raiders71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders74c49.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.912373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Texas Tech Red Raiders74c49.66$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9164658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Texas Tech Red Raiders61c48.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c46.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4919860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Cincinnati Bearcats36c40.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7817…d4b1backed Cincinnati Bearcats42c36.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Cincinnati Bearcats29c34.75$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats40c31.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.711,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Texas Tech Red Raiders59c31.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.919348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e25…cd73backed Texas Tech Red Raiders75c26.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c25.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.274247.6%20 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…5189backed Texas Tech Red Raiders72c24.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.95366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Texas Tech Red Raiders75c19.37$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.792450%12 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders71c16.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7510347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.