La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37807d10fb09b72f99974994a6126b1696f429aa7101d1cfa466a418c6721e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Over | 51c | 24,567$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 10,431$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,049.7 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 8,137$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.29 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 77c | 3,912$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 3,619$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.63 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 61c | 2,624$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.26 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…f786backed Over | 46c | 1,969$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 47c | 1,807$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.65 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 1,794$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 40c | 1,730$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 18c | 1,656$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.53 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 42c | 1,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…1660backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 1,003$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 981.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.19 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 920.21$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.86 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 869.86$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.04 | 622 | 58%361 W · 261 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 79c | 630.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Over | 53c | 621.28$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 50c | 542$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 507.91$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 49c | 489.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 57c | 426.13$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 6c | 400$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Over | 30c | 399.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…f285backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 356.18$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…f5a8backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…9937backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…daf1backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…18c3backed Under | 22c | 308.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 8c | 300$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b729backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0f…56e1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 288.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 273$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Under | 6c | 238.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 64c | 237.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 51c | 214$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 48c | 186.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 180.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 50c | 163.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 155.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 40c | 150.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…9551backed Over | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 144.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Under | 26c | 133.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c6…6d67backed Under | 78c | 128.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 124.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 849 | 39.7%337 W · 512 L | -21.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 123.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…8afebacked Over | 34c | 119.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 116.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…7cb7backed Over | 50c | 113.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…252dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 10c | 99.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 58c | 94.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.