La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd93551e0a4abc7104b4c725e06786febe422e6cccb165ad5f86792cced99e4a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 3c | 1,560$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 9c | 599.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 425.64$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 12c | 317.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 207.85$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 195.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 56c | 177.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes | 55c | 170$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 46c | 164.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 45c | 127.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…b335backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 45c | 96.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 35c | 65.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 43c | 51.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…3efdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c72…893ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…264fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…ee30backed No | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…9f1cbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…d998backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 51c | 26.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3393…e6b3backed Yes | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Yes | 52c | 22.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…0e8cbacked Yes | 55c | 22.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 21.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed No | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.