NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d33ce9a666f6a5d2585544374ec39146f5a59ef021a2327347a75c1f1a23ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,918 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 100,000$50,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,014.61 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 64,208$31,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,474.83 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 49c | 26,472$12,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,971.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,113$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 1,849$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.41 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 52c | 1,565$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Under | 49c | 1,483$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.67 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 1,130$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.52 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 922.32$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.31 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 48c | 789$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 47cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 453.71$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.39 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 438.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Under | 53c | 403.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 375$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Under | 51c | 304.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 48c | 217.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 52c | 209.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…95ebbacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 51c | 196.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 192.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 52c | 189.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…f8efbacked Under | 51c | 182$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…b43dbacked Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…b10ebacked Under | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…6999backed Over | 49c | 136.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…889cbacked Under | 52c | 134.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…4674backed Over | 49c | 124.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…5d40backed Under | 52c | 122.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed Under | 53c | 122.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 120.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…1538backed Under | 52c | 97.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…fb3abacked Over | 49c | 97.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Over | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…8351backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 49c | 79.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…9bd1backed Under | 51c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 49c | 73.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 49c | 69.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 49c | 69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 63.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 49c | 63.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Over | 52c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 57c | 52.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99b8…d3e9backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…3e61backed Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 53c | 45.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 50c | 43.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Under | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 53c | 39.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…7465backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…0f78backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…05fcbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 49c | 36.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 51c | 34.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 33.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…6314backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…93aabacked Over | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…7b3cbacked Over | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 29cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 50c | 28.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75d…790bbacked Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Under | 49c | 27.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 49c | 26.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…a721backed Under | 49c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c2…d317backed Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 51c | 23.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…5527backed Under | 49c | 23.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…431bbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5this page
- Lightning vs. Maple LeafsLightning won
- Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.