TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9995…6c06

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 34.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-6.3wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.56
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.55
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.18
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Wild vs. Starsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.17
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.68
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.39
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.24
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.46
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.14
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.13
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$54.24
Islanders vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.33
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.98
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45.61
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$97.45
Blues vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$237.37
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$340.27
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$316.11
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$71.63
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$68.63
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$82.35
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$75.23
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$123.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+150.8%+$236.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75%+$177.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$177.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$84.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs Paper Rexbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.