Valorant · resolved market
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9bf52f9bd566306d677ee3deee8e456738c49d9ec2e734572d1a1e9e958e1b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 49c | 7,664$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,892.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 3,440$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.83 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked No | 50c | 3,412$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Yes | 48c | 3,346$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed No | 50c | 2,966$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,847$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Yes | 79c | 1,361$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Yes | 51c | 1,206$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,044$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.31 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked Yes | 50c | 1,027$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Yes | 52c | 926.41$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 28c | 761.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Yes | 77c | 752.74$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed No | 45c | 743.18$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…b15fbacked Yes | 47c | 700$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379e…b150backed Yes | 43c | 627.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 613.91$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.23 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…cda1backed Yes | 55c | 605.18$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 48c | 350.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Yes | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 70c | 268$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Yes | 58c | 263.95$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 55c | 258.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 51c | 246.87$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…5ecebacked Yes | 47c | 223.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…fc4bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Yes | 50c | 199.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Yes | 29c | 190.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Yes | 27c | 188.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +276.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…2aa9backed Yes | 50c | 180.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked No | 59c | 170.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5e86backed Yes | 34c | 161.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…5909backed Yes | 50c | 158.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61c…353cbacked No | 80c | 146.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3e14backed Yes | 30c | 109.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…9c1fbacked Yes | 23c | 108.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ed98backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…accebacked Yes | 62c | 79.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…02a1backed Yes | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 62.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 57c | 61.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 60c | 59.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…cafcbacked Yes | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked No | 44c | 44.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2825…41ffbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…ec06backed No | 56c | 39.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b2…5898backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…a083backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 68c | 35.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…970dbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed Yes | 79c | 27.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 53c | 27.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…b935backed Yes | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?this page
- Will DRX win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will G2 Esports win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will GIANTX win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will MIBR win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Sentinels win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will T1 win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Team Heretics win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.