TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof Fnatic, NRG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,140
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,140 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6937…085dbacked NRG42c63,580$26,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,062.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked NRG41c32,922$13,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,538.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Fnatic59c27,319$16,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,040.889644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Fnatic0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Fnatic59c14,625$8,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,628.8113558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Fnatic57c14,329$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.9233942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Fnatic57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7001050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked NRG43c10,000$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd559…05a0backed Fnatic59c7,565$4,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Fnatic60c7,054$4,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,204.51540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fnatic54c6,706$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.851560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed NRG41c6,694$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.53475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG45c6,361$2,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.0612835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NRG65c4,116$2,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.885253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked NRG41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9516142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Fnatic59c3,600$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed Fnatic35c3,570$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fnatic59c3,553$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,086.38825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Fnatic60c3,036$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.7218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed NRG39c2,888$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.992055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Fnatic44c2,220$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Fnatic59c2,085$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.4933753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Fnatic59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd773…549ebacked Fnatic59c1,549$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.88955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fnatic59c1,525$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.754542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab0…955fbacked Fnatic27c1,250$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick29cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fnatic59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Fnatic54c926$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.0419655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Fnatic60c917.98$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked NRG68c817.3$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic59c800$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.3155152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed Fnatic54c757.72$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic58c755.36$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6632141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Fnatic46c692.86$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Fnatic5c654.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1524732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Fnatic59c638.83$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.9122955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Fnatic59c575.41$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-47.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Fnatic59c574.58$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Fnatic42c570$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.53450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked Fnatic35c565.73$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic31c553$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Fnatic40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Fnatic58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Fnatic60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fnatic44c455.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Fnatic60c441.58$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.954042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Fnatic59c406.78$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Fnatic34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Fnatic58c345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7ee…0a23backed Fnatic59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Fnatic60c332.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.646457.8%37 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Fnatic58c322.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.993046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed NRG44c306.38$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed NRG42c305.05$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.951346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Fnatic51c296.92$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Fnatic35c278.02$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.332729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f0…a28dbacked NRG74c228.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Fnatic59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea2…60b7backed Fnatic58c196.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1974…29edbacked Fnatic19c180$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-66%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed NRG41c175.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.633148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f04…1ce7backed Fnatic58c172.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7613…5ecebacked Fnatic60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic59c156$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.044353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…5bd1backed Fnatic68c137.66$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed NRG41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.956251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x807a…2047backed Fnatic58c119.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.061020%2 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Fnatic53c106.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3812948.1%62 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…2216backed NRG50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed NRG42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf030…27bfbacked Fnatic59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…494fbacked Fnatic59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…4485backed NRG44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…2561backed Fnatic61c81.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG41c79.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked NRG41c73.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.392548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed NRG64c57.33$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be3…4c9bbacked Fnatic41c56.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Fnatic58c54.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91a4…881fbacked Fnatic59c50.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…ec59backed NRG54c42.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Fnatic35c42.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed Fnatic60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Fnatic60c40.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed NRG66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.66669.7%46 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f3…52bcbacked Fnatic59c37.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf553…a85cbacked NRG66c36.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe27…fdeebacked Fnatic41c36.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6d…ed98backed NRG44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.091457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked Fnatic49c32.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4025…33e2backed Fnatic59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed NRG41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7525347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed NRG56c24.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.991080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Fnatic60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.