Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04cc239484d9588652c3d899d3b2c70f61d08766bb6c2342590731cac7d278f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- All Gamersof Gentle Mates, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked All Gamers | 42c | 6,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.99 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 5,824$3,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.97 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed All Gamers | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.96 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…a524backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 2,071$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 999.82$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.9 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers | 45c | 776.97$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.33 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed All Gamers | 41c | 602.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.44 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…02d1backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 527$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked All Gamers | 41c | 502.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.74 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 441.29$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 424.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.3 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd080…0b70backed All Gamers | 48c | 376$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…028cbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 327$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 325.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae6…7f9abacked All Gamers | 48c | 320$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…a5a8backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 314$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…e51dbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 294$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb0…1af0backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 282$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…3fe7backed All Gamers | 48c | 277$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…93a4backed All Gamers | 48c | 273$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…d47ebacked All Gamers | 48c | 257$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed All Gamers | 41c | 253.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.86 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 245.33$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde98…8dc8backed All Gamers | 42c | 235.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc5…b698backed All Gamers | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed All Gamers | 44c | 224.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked All Gamers | 43c | 222.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed All Gamers | 43c | 222.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…cea0backed All Gamers | 48c | 220$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed All Gamers | 43c | 211.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0c…abe6backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…2eefbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…9558backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 189$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…68b6backed All Gamers | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…043abacked All Gamers | 49c | 164$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 158.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 158.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed All Gamers | 43c | 150.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…23d4backed All Gamers | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…f204backed All Gamers | 49c | 132$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 126.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked All Gamers | 44c | 120.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 112$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed All Gamers | 41c | 104.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.93 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed All Gamers | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed All Gamers | 41c | 82.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked All Gamers | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…08a4backed All Gamers | 43c | 78.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 75.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…713abacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…32abbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 42.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked All Gamers | 40c | 39.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…4cd9backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed All Gamers | 70c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…2856backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked All Gamers | 41c | 31.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…b408backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 31.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ed98backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 17.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.