Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745c79ea7dff9026f12eb34efff3bea10e185589f987bb9a24d3f8efa12159fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,840 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1243…17bdbacked Over | 34c | 376$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…8d5ebacked Over | 34c | 321$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Over | 35c | 311$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Under | 71c | 261.26$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7d…9b86backed Under | 70c | 252$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 65c | 251.62$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…c770backed Under | 70c | 248$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737b…853abacked Under | 68c | 247$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…f3a0backed Under | 70c | 244$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Under | 50c | 240.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…64f6backed Under | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…c70cbacked Under | 68c | 238$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8710…9e01backed Under | 70c | 237$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19e…a8bbbacked Under | 68c | 234$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…1a13backed Under | 70c | 214$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f8…9e09backed Under | 68c | 210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…5932backed Under | 70c | 197$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…2a68backed Over | 30c | 188$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…f780backed Over | 30c | 187$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…3268backed Under | 66c | 182$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…bee3backed Over | 30c | 176$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a37…7052backed Over | 32c | 167$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc1…e095backed Over | 32c | 159$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…ec2fbacked Over | 30c | 156$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…1b4abacked Over | 32c | 155$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…45f7backed Over | 30c | 154$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…f4eabacked Over | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…5604backed Under | 66c | 148$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…345dbacked Over | 30c | 142$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +156%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…02aabacked Over | 32c | 139$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…3317backed Under | 66c | 127$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…da1cbacked Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec7…339fbacked Over | 32c | 116$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…7566backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…4966backed Over | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…a4c4backed Over | 32c | 93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…1d71backed Over | 30c | 65.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f52…d7e9backed Under | 70c | 45.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 58c | 33.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Over | 40c | 25.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +90%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.