Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19fef6f1026bf576d5257717224f1a9698a10b557526373751bc7dfe53a65c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, All Gamers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,861 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed All Gamers | 23c | 2,100$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.6 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked All Gamers | 15c | 1,974$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.14 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked All Gamers | 16c | 1,621$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.77 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked All Gamers | 16c | 1,580$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…4704backed All Gamers | 26c | 1,562$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed All Gamers | 18c | 1,171$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 1,050$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed All Gamers | 18c | 946.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.02 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked All Gamers | 25c | 792.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed All Gamers | 27c | 566.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed All Gamers | 16c | 565.63$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed All Gamers | 17c | 471.06$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed All Gamers | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 420 | 35%147 W · 273 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 371.32$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Gentle Mates | 80c | 332.13$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked All Gamers | 13c | 233.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed All Gamers | 22c | 186.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed All Gamers | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 364 | 46.2%168 W · 196 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6846…a82fbacked All Gamers | 14c | 141.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed All Gamers | 21c | 137.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 134.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed All Gamers | 18c | 94.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked All Gamers | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…a448backed All Gamers | 26c | 56.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed All Gamers | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gentle Mates | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed All Gamers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…960cbacked All Gamers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked All Gamers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 32.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…4955backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 23.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…1090backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed Gentle Mates | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs All Gamers (+1.5)All Gamers won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsAll Gamers won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.