Champions League · resolved market
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd58a81092f5f3042b40f3242289548649913e99a092901de89f2db6cdc37a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 56,710$28,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,076.98 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 48c | 24,135$11,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480.13 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 48c | 20,736$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,780.34 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.99 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 53c | 14,100$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.92 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 54c | 12,032$6,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.24 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 48c | 11,971$5,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.58 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 49c | 11,189$5,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,440.84 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 10,182$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.27 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 50c | 8,952$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,494.04 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 7,500$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.96 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 51c | 6,499$3,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.51 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 52c | 6,456$3,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 51c | 5,445$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.25 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 47c | 5,226$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.78 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 41c | 4,234$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.13 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 48c | 4,172$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 50c | 3,944$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.93 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 48c | 3,646$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 3,200$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,590$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.49 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 49c | 2,482$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.82 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 47c | 2,093$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 49c | 2,071$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 52c | 1,530$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.3 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 51c | 1,312$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.41 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 53c | 1,301$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.68 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 49c | 1,278$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.22 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 51c | 1,150$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.55 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 51c | 1,060$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.24 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 926.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 858.45$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.23 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 772$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 261 | 44.4%116 W · 145 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 719.91$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.23 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 49c | 717.75$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.35 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 52c | 640.54$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 54c | 618.59$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 51c | 599.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 49c | 588.89$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 59c | 577.86$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.51 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…cf06backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 31c | 546.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 39c | 515.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…a528backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 52c | 500$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…3c12backed Yes | 30c | 494.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 51c | 403.5$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 48c | 391$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 51c | 388.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 384.61$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.52 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 54c | 374.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 61c | 350.69$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9721…bb3dbacked Yes | 47c | 329.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 31c | 324.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 51c | 313.68$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.1 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 306.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.33 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…e630backed Yes | 56c | 304.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 50c | 289.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 168 | 53.6%90 W · 78 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 53c | 274.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 50c | 269$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.39 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Yes | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1932…4e5abacked Yes | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…f1a8backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 44c | 218.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 52c | 215.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 48c | 208.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…5a82backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?this page
- Will Napoli vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.