TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $250 in October?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$566,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$597,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $566,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78a1…5551backed Yes29c27,502$7,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,891.21170%0 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No74c23,803$17,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,288.1937745.9%173 W · 204 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9066…c20abacked No67c19,342$12,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,409.7415561.9%96 W · 59 L+19.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes15c17,500$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.917619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes5c16,688$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.3935123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Yes18c16,382$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c14,999$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda14…a40cbacked No77c11,736$9,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.953237.5%12 W · 20 L-11.2wins-0.35per pick72cpaid-50.3%equal weight28-0.20 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c10,920$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.031,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5bb…a429backed No32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8004151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…1085backed Yes52c8,371$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes23c7,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x137f…968dbacked Yes3c5,982$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes7c5,673$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8625824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Yes43c4,860$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.313246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4500…115dbacked Yes4c4,525$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b12…bf0fbacked Yes64c4,500$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8656950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf98b…bfc5backed No70c4,214$2,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.6724654.9%135 W · 111 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes11c4,149$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.4518315.3%28 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No54c4,000$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.914953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a96…1c57backed Yes37c3,943$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45060%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f51…531ebacked Yes2c3,691$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.81520%0 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf5…84d9backed Yes72c3,484$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes38c3,404$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.2329126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes3c3,219$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.591931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300270%0 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846f…750ebacked No56c2,500$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09013038.5%50 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d7…7423backed Yes67c2,300$1,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.1334848.6%169 W · 179 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes11c2,086$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.996613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes7c1,577$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.026211.3%7 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1352…4da4backed Yes8c1,523$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-88.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes74c1,500$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1101030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b52…4db0backed No76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3606053.3%32 W · 28 L+7.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x308a…95ffbacked No35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfcc…12a6backed No34c1,488$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.662975.9%22 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc53c…0eb4backed Yes32c1,400$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4417652.6%40 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1a2…372abacked No42c1,400$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.893284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.25per pick60cpaid+59.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa366…54efbacked Yes43c1,050$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45515754.8%86 W · 71 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75013863%87 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked No71c967.02$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7655032.5%179 W · 371 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…d7c7backed Yes51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4595933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c88…d117backed Yes21c873.81$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.18120%0 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a38…360bbacked Yes19c747.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.771165.2%6 W · 110 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace5…4457backed Yes4c711.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf68…ac13backed Yes37c682.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb5d…be63backed Yes4c641.03$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252015%3 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…7e32backed No43c593.02$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.02425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed No43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x269c…58c2backed Yes3c578.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20506%3 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ee…e354backed Yes4c559.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203917.9%7 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e81…8406backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40db…2f69backed No75c529$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.98475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb401…df2abacked No32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc453…2bcdbacked Yes67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-58.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b53…708bbacked Yes3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493d…538cbacked Yes4c460.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a15…ac4bbacked Yes3c453.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…8059backed Yes3c442.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.732020%4 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07b3…cdfbbacked Yes75c430$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…7d48backed Yes14c425.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6050%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47d7…8084backed Yes64c420.59$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…01cbbacked No75c400.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9343…f024backed Yes74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29670%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecf8…5cefbacked Yes73c342.01$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb34…a1cdbacked No73c341.93$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.852462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Yes6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d0…1d86backed Yes6c326.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5719439.2%76 W · 118 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276041.7%25 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…afdbbacked Yes70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfc…1df1backed No35c283.7$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.73871.1%27 W · 11 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf3ef…5e8bbacked Yes71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd770…2fd3backed Yes18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes23c240$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7464812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes44c231.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.85318.9%10 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7f9…d9e3backed No38c231.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.425100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+133.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed Yes65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed No42c220$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3daf…d30cbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ba…96c1backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa5…427abacked Yes54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b9…70a1backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff8…6370backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x652f…e2afbacked No65c169.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.05771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick73cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a7…143cbacked No41c161.44$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.752100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes72c157.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.151163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13bc…b26dbacked No46c153.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.412161.9%13 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+51.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9bca…5337backed Yes65c152.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100120%0 W · 12 L-5.6wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xee8b…6436backed No76c150$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa719…0d97backed No49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8556…7e42backed Yes68c148.53$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b4e…47e2backed Yes68c148.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d0…145fbacked Yes68c148.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d95…ba23backed Yes68c148.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c46…c24fbacked Yes68c148.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.