Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $150 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d4b7b8ade2a85453fd1e467055b57ec6edfe63408d314ce40e9f7da79c3d41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $764,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $686,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $764,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 12c | 74,749$8,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.53 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 18c | 61,476$11,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,061.83 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…88a6backed Yes | 3c | 32,722$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 9c | 22,232$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.84 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…1af2backed Yes | 18c | 14,715$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…32a0backed Yes | 18c | 14,345$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,386$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…edd6backed Yes | 17c | 12,280$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.71 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 10c | 11,433$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.59 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 75c | 11,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 70c | 9,000$6,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 8,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 16c | 8,071$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.95 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 4c | 7,819$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.23 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…7dc4backed Yes | 16c | 6,404$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…697fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…30c2backed Yes | 1c | 6,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 4c | 5,700$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,409$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5d…be63backed Yes | 8c | 4,932$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0061…548ebacked Yes | 19c | 3,847$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 3,104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 6c | 2,923$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 62 | 11.3%7 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 70c | 2,349$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.16 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 75c | 2,228$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.53 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 66c | 1,706$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.49 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,583$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.61 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…0f35backed No | 78c | 1,546$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 4c | 1,469$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 71c | 1,460$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 73c | 1,000$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 138 | 63%87 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…cd6bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 5c | 999.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…1307backed Yes | 1c | 899.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 15c | 819.56$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 4c | 814$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 13c | 740$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf363…83d0backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 13c | 424.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 5c | 402.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 8c | 376.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked Yes | 5c | 359.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…66a6backed No | 71c | 347.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked No | 76c | 329.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…f144backed Yes | 31c | 310$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffb…3c0ebacked No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…8d33backed Yes | 17c | 299.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…2556backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 27c | 285.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…9f9abacked Yes | 22c | 263.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…50a4backed No | 78c | 248.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe066…9ebbbacked Yes | 42c | 240.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 13c | 234.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Yes | 12c | 213.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936d…5c15backed No | 60c | 208.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…dbdabacked Yes | 51c | 207.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Yes | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf493…f4f6backed Yes | 5c | 196.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 63c | 191.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x286b…b542backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca3…c270backed Yes | 11c | 151.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 73c | 142.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 21c | 142.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…7ba8backed Yes | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c9…0e52backed No | 77c | 130.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…0cd6backed No | 71c | 125.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…0affbacked Yes | 17c | 118.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…948fbacked No | 78c | 117.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…e8dfbacked No | 62c | 114.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 104$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc704…65a7backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5896…c848backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x269d…885dbacked No | 67c | 88.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 34cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d6f0backed Yes | 30c | 82.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…3f29backed No | 61c | 81.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…60bdbacked No | 76c | 78.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…a532backed Yes | 35c | 71.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…a189backed No | 77c | 68.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7fbebacked No | 77c | 64.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…6b64backed Yes | 25c | 56.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…5d9cbacked No | 77c | 53.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…08debacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…9331backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…b646backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caa…cf30backed Yes | 42c | 47.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…2d50backed No | 71c | 42.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x493d…538cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…6eadbacked No | 72c | 27.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1904…23d3backed No | 80c | 26.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x518e…70b1backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70f…2f8cbacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…baefbacked No | 78c | 22.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $150 in October?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $195 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $350 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.