Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $350 in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6717befc0ec8bb8389512c3739b5e4bca290f2a8a908e894cadb5a3785d9ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $606,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 0c | 32,503$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Yes | 0c | 29,994$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 5c | 27,562$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.33 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 26,499$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.49 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,499$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,710$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 1c | 14,623$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 13,768$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.8 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…0ec7backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 53 | 1.9%1 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -97.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 1c | 11,201$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 4c | 10,618$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.29 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3a…8800backed Yes | 1c | 8,930$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 3c | 8,570$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.62 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e51…3e80backed Yes | 3c | 7,746$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,643$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 65 | 9.2%6 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…82debacked Yes | 3c | 6,877$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 1c | 6,388$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…db56backed Yes | 3c | 6,013$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…8e82backed Yes | 2c | 5,512$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 49 | 2%1 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d9…b3babacked Yes | 2c | 4,530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…ef25backed Yes | 3c | 3,545$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…8529backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae6…1b5bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,424$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,677$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0d…25bcbacked Yes | 4c | 2,584$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,319$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…5758backed Yes | 1c | 2,258$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7909…de2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,384$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6e…9f41backed Yes | 3c | 1,349$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 5c | 1,321$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…9ae5backed Yes | 4c | 1,301$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…f0b8backed Yes | 2c | 1,150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…618dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,065$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,025$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…da7ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,006$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 3c | 940.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 2c | 833.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…ac0abacked Yes | 2c | 698.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…e354backed Yes | 3c | 672.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505d…7d62backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…5f59backed Yes | 3c | 425.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 5c | 422.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…d018backed Yes | 4c | 413.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…eef4backed Yes | 6c | 334.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $350 in October?this page
- Will Solana dip to $120 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $150 in October?No won
- Will Solana dip to $170 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $175 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $180 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $185 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $190 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $195 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $200 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $225 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $230 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $235 in October?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $240 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $250 in October?No won
- Will Solana reach $300 in October?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.