Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af07b569498ff670ab7900f7fa8bd8e9f5b092c6e497cf32a9e18ca9b2499fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 46c | 48,827$22,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,463.99 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked No | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 66c | 9,454$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,184.56 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 35c | 8,082$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.57 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 65c | 5,625$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.62 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 52c | 5,314$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.8 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 4,822$1,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 4,344$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 18c | 3,629$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.17 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.97 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 3,139$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.36 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 35c | 3,023$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.43 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,820$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.7 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,975$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 42c | 1,934$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952f…182bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,796$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,653$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.54 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 1,557$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.33 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.03 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 51c | 1,227$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.65 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 1,129$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.95 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 39c | 1,067$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 46c | 1,046$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.09 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…4375backed Yes | 30c | 1,016$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 50c | 999.96$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed Yes | 47c | 948.99$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 888.95$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 46c | 827.36$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 780$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 46c | 505$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 49c | 496.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.81 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 47c | 496$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 448.77$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 48c | 374.63$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 47c | 329.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef6f…084bbacked Yes | 30c | 327.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 32c | 320.91$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 32c | 311.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.77 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 68c | 246.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Yes | 30c | 236.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 33c | 165.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes | 32c | 153.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 46c | 149.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6f…f078backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 36c | 140.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 72c | 139.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…1790backed Yes | 16c | 128.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 110.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 52c | 101.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…ec5ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 32c | 78.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…f5dabacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…8384backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2243…e1bbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cb…4d25backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 45c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 61c | 29.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 57c | 26.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked No | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…99c8backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2025-11-07?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2025-11-07?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.