Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x977405fede8814823ebb056d3cb8312702989ac7aad633738932adfa1daf2c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked No | 0c | 16,231$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed No | 2c | 15,400$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 13,133$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.45 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…3852backed No | 4c | 12,187$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed No | 0c | 11,062$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…db65backed No | 4c | 8,145$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…8ecfbacked No | 1c | 6,637$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…7030backed No | 1c | 6,388$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 75c | 5,188$3,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.67 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 8c | 4,491$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 1c | 4,479$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…a211backed Yes | 56c | 3,792$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.35 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…202ebacked No | 2c | 2,688$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2536…190fbacked No | 12c | 2,407$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…f43cbacked No | 2c | 2,113$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 2,058$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 2,025$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…e543backed No | 4c | 1,900$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db2…da98backed No | 3c | 1,780$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 1,534$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…ace3backed No | 13c | 1,500$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 12c | 1,464$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2223…f7f9backed No | 2c | 1,422$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…74b9backed No | 2c | 1,320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…6a60backed No | 8c | 1,295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a16…ad87backed No | 3c | 1,215$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…e149backed No | 3c | 1,105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked No | 7c | 1,050$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +201.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked No | 7c | 1,050$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 7c | 1,050$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 2c | 1,036$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -95.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 2c | 1,013$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 20c | 978.23$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.23 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 954.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa872…9fe4backed No | 14c | 900$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…4890backed No | 12c | 825$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +245.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 8c | 804.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 701.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…c065backed No | 19c | 695.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…9becbacked No | 3c | 686.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 678.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 35c | 674.31$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 69c | 663.99$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 14c | 650$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +210.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0519…42f2backed No | 3c | 650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed No | 7c | 650$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…d2bdbacked No | 3c | 600.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…b12dbacked No | 4c | 600$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 4c | 577.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 7c | 540$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…a313backed No | 4c | 522.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…6ea2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 9c | 500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed No | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…daf1backed No | 11c | 468.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…aafebacked No | 5c | 456.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…5f61backed No | 5c | 443.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed No | 80c | 418.04$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.31 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…320abacked No | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked No | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…5d80backed No | 68c | 400$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked No | 4c | 385.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed No | 6c | 361.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 324.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 172 | 32%55 W · 117 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…d1bfbacked No | 4c | 311.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +576.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked No | 12c | 306.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdba…7e5abacked No | 5c | 282.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed No | 6c | 266.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…224abacked No | 6c | 258.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 69c | 256$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.64 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 6c | 232.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…c7c5backed No | 10c | 210.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 204.87$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.48 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…e073backed Yes | 67c | 201.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…6570backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +89%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…d517backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked No | 68c | 182.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…de35backed No | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe0…ac46backed No | 70c | 167.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 33c | 150.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…f831backed No | 72c | 139.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 11c | 135.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…0eb0backed Yes | 77c | 119.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 111.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…d632backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 28c | 94.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 25c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4518…1cacbacked Yes | 32c | 81.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9798backed Yes | 33c | 59.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d5…8e7ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed No | 69c | 50.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…0387backed No | 77c | 45.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.