World Politics · resolved market
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb773804f2f8ce39e6f27487c5778506d95149ee41c194cb674a2254ff1193331
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,401,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,496,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,401,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 701 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 0c | 64,539$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…ab91backed No | 17c | 61,206$10,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,148.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…b3debacked No | 18c | 58,280$10,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,229.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…dd75backed No | 20c | 57,626$11,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,689.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed No | 19c | 50,001$9,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,524.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 42,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 79c | 38,098$30,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,029.28 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 17c | 37,411$6,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,223.64 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…5da2backed No | 2c | 30,337$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b0…9bc8backed No | 1c | 30,333$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…40c9backed No | 12c | 28,436$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…224dbacked No | 19c | 24,550$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…42a0backed No | 10c | 23,349$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…5fb4backed No | 5c | 20,181$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 80c | 18,007$14,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.84 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…5d03backed No | 1c | 17,715$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…fa75backed No | 20c | 17,420$3,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,412.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…dc84backed No | 17c | 16,839$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…37d1backed No | 18c | 15,883$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…aa84backed No | 29c | 15,764$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed No | 21c | 15,690$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.87 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…dc4abacked No | 21c | 14,912$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…1cffbacked No | 21c | 13,549$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…eda0backed No | 4c | 12,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 7c | 11,791$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 8c | 11,511$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…452ebacked No | 19c | 10,395$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…5198backed No | 17c | 10,377$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 0c | 10,221$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…0a7ebacked No | 23c | 9,903$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc652…208abacked No | 15c | 9,594$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 1c | 9,333$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…642fbacked No | 19c | 8,603$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…302cbacked No | 6c | 8,573$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 80c | 8,567$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.58 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed No | 23c | 8,561$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eca…b368backed No | 18c | 8,316$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 78c | 8,205$6,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…8084backed No | 0c | 8,010$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…0c73backed No | 19c | 8,004$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…b688backed No | 19c | 7,816$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…bd01backed No | 20c | 7,464$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5af…3ea2backed No | 18c | 7,326$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…f61bbacked No | 16c | 6,523$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78a…4a82backed No | 9c | 6,450$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…06d5backed No | 1c | 6,214$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…b32abacked No | 18c | 6,195$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff58…42c2backed No | 17c | 6,180$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…6509backed No | 1c | 5,961$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e1…2675backed No | 11c | 5,956$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 9c | 5,915$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.05 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…17babacked No | 10c | 5,800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…42c0backed No | 16c | 5,728$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…f073backed No | 17c | 5,725$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.4 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…dc3ebacked No | 20c | 5,720$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bd…06d4backed No | 0c | 5,660$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…83aabacked No | 20c | 5,508$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…4db3backed No | 4c | 5,338$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 9c | 5,333$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 18c | 5,245$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…8d8abacked No | 19c | 5,237$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…a607backed No | 22c | 5,124$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6b72backed No | 1c | 5,028$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 80c | 5,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…ab84backed No | 13c | 4,929$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…e91ebacked No | 19c | 4,925$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5b…2b86backed No | 16c | 4,681$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…6ea4backed No | 20c | 4,678$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 62c | 4,502$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.82 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked No | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed No | 17c | 4,221$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d1…e53abacked No | 24c | 4,176$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 79c | 4,123$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.79 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…7e81backed No | 17c | 4,115$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…254abacked No | 17c | 4,038$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e34…9cd8backed No | 15c | 3,815$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +370.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed No | 1c | 3,808$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…a2b6backed No | 0c | 3,785$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f14…7efbbacked No | 18c | 3,772$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…0deabacked No | 25c | 3,740$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…90b0backed No | 18c | 3,571$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 78c | 3,500$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.2 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b65…b928backed No | 18c | 3,427$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd129…f26fbacked No | 30c | 3,347$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed No | 17c | 3,305$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7779…99f5backed No | 18c | 3,302$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…70bebacked No | 18c | 3,208$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…901fbacked No | 17c | 3,176$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…730fbacked No | 18c | 3,043$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed No | 15c | 3,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked No | 19c | 2,965$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked No | 17c | 2,907$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 7c | 2,887$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…2ed4backed No | 18c | 2,884$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…2cafbacked No | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4000…4c16backed No | 16c | 2,767$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa930…3b95backed No | 4c | 2,726$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…6a61backed No | 1c | 2,716$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.