TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,995,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,799,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,995,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes62c5,057,887$3,132,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132,881.76850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No38c1,566,176$602,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964,069.949159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No38c800,000$304,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked No38c600,000$228,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No38c594,964$226,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368,701.724052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No38c400,000$152,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No38c300,000$114,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185,2501040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No38c229,710$87,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,420.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes61c107,674$65,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,645.072356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c90,140$36,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,169.1362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No38c87,709$33,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,235.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No38c81,998$31,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,838.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked No38c79,766$30,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,454.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c78,521$31,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,885.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c57,470$25,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,020.151,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No39c50,285$19,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,673.63351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No38c38,753$14,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,923.9452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No38c38,735$14,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,918.352045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No38c18,888$7,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,710.623246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No38c16,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8801838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No38c15,382$5,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,520.9435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes60c14,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,4005538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No39c13,442$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,252.984551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c11,823$4,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,832.5187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No39c11,667$4,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,116.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No39c10,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed No40c9,990$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9941485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+72.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No38c9,500$3,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,890580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+122.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed No40c9,015$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,409.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No38c9,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,55014654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No39c8,250$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,032.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes60c8,023$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,813.815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed No46c7,854$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+41.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked No39c7,831$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.02475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick30cpaid+121.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No39c7,574$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,621.1623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No39c7,225$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.153259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No38c7,143$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,425.692536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No40c7,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed No38c6,994$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No38c6,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes60c5,800$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4805156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c5,500$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,37514452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked No39c4,825$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x765d…f447backed No75c4,628$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed No38c4,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked No51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes51c3,870$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c3,587$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.0737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No39c3,300$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8305060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8306060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No41c3,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No41c2,565$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.065942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No40c2,556$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.8928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes60c2,542$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.9719055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes59c2,500$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No39c2,415$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.535157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5273…69f5backed Yes24c2,120$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.15616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c2,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9624642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No38c1,952$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.9911355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No39c1,771$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.3117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Yes6c1,770$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.622119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No40c1,700$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.441973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c1,698$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.071,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9929…0b40backed No41c1,620$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No38c1,613$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.022347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed No40c1,494$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No38c1,474$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.889553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No39c1,467$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.074362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes7c1,441$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.862630.8%8 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+204.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No38c1,378$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed No39c1,300$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No18c1,275$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.281546.7%7 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick22cpaid+705.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed No39c1,266$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes47c1,260$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.278066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb93f…e367backed Yes59c1,250$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes22c1,231$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7726040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.511656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes61c1,132$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes60c1,065$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.049858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No39c1,025$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.255328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No42c1,015$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.19863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6202737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes49c1,000$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.21533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5909140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No39c848.77$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.538942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked No40c846.55$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No55c813$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.8515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No39c800$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4886756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No51c799.98$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes50c746$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.