Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacbba356b9fc75294bffaa58ad89522fc071a61334d7f39e8e41e6e49086d223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 17c | 26,223$4,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,487.31 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 0c | 9,418$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 17c | 6,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 4,320$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.95 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,015$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,534$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.45 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.88 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 23c | 1,091$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,043$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.71 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 1,004$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.3 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 4c | 960.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 879.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 855.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 19c | 725$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 665.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 17c | 622$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…a980backed Yes | 11c | 566.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 527.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.61 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked No | 62c | 420$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 35c | 379.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 65c | 369.23$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 14c | 322.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 19c | 309.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Yes | 18c | 277.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Yes | 8c | 271.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 19c | 228.71$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 17c | 180.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 16c | 163.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 18c | 148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 20c | 147.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 17c | 114.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…1989backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b43…8ebdbacked Yes | 59c | 93.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 17c | 93.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…bb08backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed No | 43c | 80.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 17c | 79.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…8517backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 78.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 64c | 77.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 72.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 41c | 72.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 38c | 67.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156a…09c9backed Yes | 17c | 64.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 71c | 50.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Yes | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 32c | 40.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 50c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…c8c8backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.