Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ced407eba945ea59fe00686400f9620de1705c6cf1e0b5eb2a65cfd3686ecb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 0c | 24,804$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 5,933$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.11 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 35c | 5,732$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 21c | 4,497$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,552.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 2,278$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.13 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 74c | 2,254$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 1,571$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.86 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 77c | 1,567$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.81 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 1,333$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.18 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 23c | 1,313$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 33c | 1,176$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.71 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 59c | 1,072$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Yes | 79c | 884.24$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 858.47$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7652…c6c5backed Yes | 75c | 795.97$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 734.13$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.18 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 53c | 616.79$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 75c | 562.7$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 34c | 531.21$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 22c | 345.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 74c | 307.09$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 289.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 283.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 49c | 264.21$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 72c | 246.51$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 245.48$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 15c | 211.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 210.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.76 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…6046backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 30c | 190.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 76c | 187$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 29c | 183.84$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 24c | 176.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 171.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 24c | 170.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 23c | 170$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…e1a3backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 34c | 143.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 60c | 104.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 76c | 81.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 24c | 81.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 69c | 76.72$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…d868backed Yes | 80c | 76.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718b…66e5backed No | 25c | 75.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 38c | 72.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb789…1eccbacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 17c | 63.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 20c | 53.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 49.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 28c | 47.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 78c | 44.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 56c | 43.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 62c | 41.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…980fbacked Yes | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked No | 53c | 37.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…d67dbacked No | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 38c | 33.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 74c | 31.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…39fdbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b75…d083backed No | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 20.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.