Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9130f8fa4df77089a6f9e755fe232c17d776fce614de7e38c3a553b212ac4d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0bc…af98backed Yes | 57c | 278,375$159,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,431.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 48c | 70,000$33,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,500.37 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 51,909$21,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,172.22 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 48,670$21,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,578.06 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 43c | 40,000$17,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,700 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 51c | 27,023$13,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,781.63 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 43c | 26,968$11,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,371.88 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 44c | 18,440$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,329.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 41c | 17,075$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,072.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 15,847$6,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,055.01 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 11,963$5,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,853.73 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 42c | 10,905$4,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.9 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 6,645$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.87 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 42c | 5,781$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.48 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 5,365$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,044.52 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 42c | 2,373$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Yes | 51c | 1,569$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 1,255$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.06 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 43c | 1,200$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 1,200$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 56c | 1,032$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 55c | 940$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 914.64$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.62 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 35c | 891.47$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.1wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 41c | 829.58$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 41c | 697.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 41c | 670.73$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.73 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 61c | 663.88$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 45c | 611.5$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 41c | 552.38$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.58 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 61c | 492.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 41c | 422.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 44c | 410$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 44c | 347$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 10c | 332.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,204.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 65c | 289.55$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.23 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 287.02$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb403…eadbbacked Yes | 36c | 280$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…5cf0backed Yes | 58c | 258.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 56c | 256.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 55c | 254$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed No | 52c | 240.58$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed No | 45c | 222.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 55c | 217.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 49c | 213.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 41c | 212.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 52c | 211.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 45c | 203.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 54c | 186$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 54c | 185.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 41c | 183.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 45c | 182.75$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 55c | 180.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 44c | 177.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 57c | 139.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 243 | 22.2%54 W · 189 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…ba9fbacked Yes | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed No | 45c | 128.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…ab51backed Yes | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…f52fbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84e…f10abacked Yes | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 58c | 90.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed No | 45c | 76.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 53c | 75.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 71%76 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 44c | 65.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked No | 46c | 63.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Yes | 54c | 62.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…1f46backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 57c | 57.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2025-12-07?Yes won
- Will Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.