Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa569aa9d3d61d7ce45ffff528ca9e1341173fdcd285549c7bf5a228af9485aed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,198,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,454,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,198,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 563,954$358,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,203.19 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 204,182$73,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,505.34 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 133,337$48,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,001.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 63c | 86,478$54,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,347.84 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 75,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 55,528$19,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,990.15 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 43,559$15,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,245.81 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Team Liquid | 64c | 33,900$21,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,249.35 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 33,660$12,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,454.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 20,167$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,002.9 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 20,000$7,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,430.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 17,300$6,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,338 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 12,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 11,929$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.31 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 11,111$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.07 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed Team Liquid | 56c | 9,154$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.55 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Team Liquid | 67c | 9,079$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.1 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 8,154$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.03 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…9b41backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 7,914$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 7,680$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.9 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 66c | 7,009$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.85 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 6,768$3,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.49 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 6,281$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.97 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.97 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 4,596$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.6 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 4,355$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.31 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 4,305$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.99 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Shopify Rebellion | 23c | 4,270$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.15 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 4,186$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 4,147$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.86 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Liquid | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.99 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 3,603$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 3,600$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 3,548$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.29 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 3,500$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 3,500$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 68c | 3,233$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.6 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,083$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.92 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 3,037$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.69 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 2,923$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 2,918$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.25 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 2,916$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 2,624$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.86 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 2,400$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 2,365$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.8 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 2,286$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.64 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 2,264$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.74 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 2,017$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.18 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,911$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.69 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 1,709$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.79 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 1,705$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.65 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 1,631$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,558$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 1,521$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.69 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 242 | 40.9%99 W · 143 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,500$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 1,392$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…fc0bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,357$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,260$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.96 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,258$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.83 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.77 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 1,214$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,186$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.84 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 1,124$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 1,061$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 1,029$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…7a6cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 43c | 1,008$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 1,000$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.72 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Shopify Rebellion | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 966.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.58 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 936$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 891.04$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Team Liquid | 53c | 833.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 816.41$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Shopify Rebellion | 8c | 784.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 770.15$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7be…3aa3backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 747.67$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 745.47$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 734$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf0…ad64backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 711.75$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Shopify Rebellion | 46c | 701.09$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 686.74$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.47 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…02e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 665.22$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.28 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 661.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 657$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 655.98$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 654.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 618.42$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 18c | 554.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Shopify Rebellion | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.