Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb728af0f864f4f7d1b52c7df22e0dcc30ee1609f04f3522e5fcadfb4d693b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 2,953$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.62 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 2,898$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 2,887$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.32 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 2,719$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.91 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,420$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.66 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 75c | 2,300$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 2,102$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.62 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 2,012$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.72 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…b2b5backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,769$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 24c | 1,516$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.93 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 1,485$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 1,384$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 1,090$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Team Liquid | 62c | 869.78$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 770$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 683.67$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 630$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Team Liquid | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 76c | 399.33$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Team Liquid | 60c | 313.88$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed Shopify Rebellion | 6c | 309.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Team Liquid | 70c | 304.75$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Liquid | 76c | 281.04$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 264.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid | 67c | 238.34$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Team Liquid | 66c | 221$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 216.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 185.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…87f8backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 180.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Liquid | 76c | 139.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 17c | 103.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shopify Rebellion | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…294abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 99.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…994abacked Team Liquid | 69c | 92.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 16c | 75.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 74.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Team Liquid | 72c | 69.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Team Liquid | 77c | 65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Team Liquid | 70c | 42.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Team Liquid | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Team Liquid | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Team Liquid | 62c | 24.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…bca6backed Team Liquid | 63c | 23.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…4ddbbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…6975backed Team Liquid | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.