Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc682264484f494ac8bb7e9f229a66dfc679d034feafa2a0c7e5c802a8c664a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Shopify Rebellion, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Shopify Rebellion | 26c | 7,295$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.58 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 7,236$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.26 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 5,286$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.13 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Team Liquid | 71c | 5,116$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.38 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 4,156$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.4 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 25c | 3,865$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.49 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 3,594$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.49 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Team Liquid | 67c | 3,185$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.72 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 2,679$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,673$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.96 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Shopify Rebellion | 27c | 2,144$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.96 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 1,770$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.6 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,380$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.19 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Shopify Rebellion | 13c | 1,366$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 964.11$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Team Liquid | 65c | 942.87$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.01 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…9015backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 799.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 43.9%162 W · 207 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 647.67$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 643.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.81 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 629.09$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 614.67$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 579.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ea…1f05backed Team Liquid | 72c | 565.48$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Liquid | 70c | 537.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.95 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 537.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 3c | 459.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 400$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Team Liquid | 62c | 399.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 399.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 351.65$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Shopify Rebellion | 35c | 320.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 320.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 33c | 299.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 280$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 277.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Shopify Rebellion | 20c | 272$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2657…4af5backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4b…d090backed Shopify Rebellion | 15c | 243.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 9c | 230.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 211.48$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Team Liquid | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 941 | 44.6%420 W · 521 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 64c | 177.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 175$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 62c | 161.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.61 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 67c | 160$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…76dcbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 155.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…1536backed Team Liquid | 64c | 155.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 153.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 38c | 141.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked Team Liquid | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Shopify Rebellion | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Team Liquid | 63c | 124.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 122.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 102.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed Team Liquid | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 85.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Shopify Rebellion | 31c | 75.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Shopify Rebellion | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 34c | 53.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…036abacked Shopify Rebellion | 37c | 53.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 51.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed Shopify Rebellion | 32c | 50.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Team Liquid | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Shopify Rebellion | 29c | 42.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Team Liquid | 63c | 41.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc4…635ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 40.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Team Liquid | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Team Liquid | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…608ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 39.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Shopify Rebellion | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…5d02backed Shopify Rebellion | 40c | 34.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 31.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Team Liquid | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Liquid | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Team Liquid | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Team Liquid | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Team Liquid | 72c | 23.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Team Liquid | 74c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…7956backed Team Liquid | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageTeam Liquid won
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.