CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61aca5d58df30369b94e32061df820979695a4220f851a12e8c945dcbc673c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Fluxo, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Fluxo | 28c | 31,251$8,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,630.7 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Fluxo | 20c | 22,463$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.57 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed NIP | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed NIP | 72c | 16,791$12,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.6 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 72c | 14,024$10,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.76 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Fluxo | 28c | 9,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Fluxo | 17c | 7,801$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.38 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed NIP | 71c | 7,081$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fluxo | 0c | 5,724$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Fluxo | 28c | 5,555$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.4 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked NIP | 72c | 5,099$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Fluxo | 28c | 4,444$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.28 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Fluxo | 28c | 4,199$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.5 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Fluxo | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Fluxo | 31c | 3,845$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.56 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked NIP | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed NIP | 72c | 3,225$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.88 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed NIP | 73c | 3,117$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Fluxo | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Fluxo | 31c | 3,000$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.97 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…7d7ebacked NIP | 73c | 2,997$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fluxo | 7c | 2,803$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.13 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed NIP | 72c | 2,766$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.54 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3f…da87backed Fluxo | 21c | 2,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Fluxo | 29c | 2,132$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.88 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Fluxo | 21c | 2,021$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.88 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe044…1b1abacked Fluxo | 30c | 1,937$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP | 70c | 1,915$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.7 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…4e57backed NIP | 69c | 1,817$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.37 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fluxo | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed NIP | 79c | 1,743$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.9 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Fluxo | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…92c6backed Fluxo | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fluxo | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed NIP | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NIP | 73c | 1,350$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…e34cbacked Fluxo | 30c | 1,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed NIP | 72c | 1,250$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…129abacked NIP | 70c | 1,230$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed NIP | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Fluxo | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…b333backed NIP | 70c | 1,037$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed Fluxo | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…e9f9backed Fluxo | 30c | 1,013$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed NIP | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fluxo | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed NIP | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Fluxo | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fluxo | 24c | 999.83$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.88 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Fluxo | 28c | 982.14$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…fc11backed NIP | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 72c | 870$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fluxo | 28c | 855$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.4 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fluxo | 29c | 831.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.89 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fluxo | 14c | 830.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…bb56backed Fluxo | 18c | 822.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Fluxo | 2c | 800$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d3…45c3backed Fluxo | 26c | 790.16$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Fluxo | 28c | 785.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7adf…1061backed Fluxo | 30c | 770$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…c9e1backed Fluxo | 30c | 745$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fluxo | 3c | 725.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…9621backed Fluxo | 30c | 701$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ba1dbacked Fluxo | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Fluxo | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Fluxo | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…fe74backed NIP | 70c | 618$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…f3a4backed NIP | 70c | 599$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Fluxo | 17c | 593.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked Fluxo | 14c | 565.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…53fdbacked NIP | 73c | 534$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea28…1cabbacked Fluxo | 30c | 521$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed NIP | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Fluxo | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Fluxo | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Fluxo | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Fluxo | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fluxo | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…bcf1backed Fluxo | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Fluxo | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…5c04backed Fluxo | 30c | 499$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…9cbabacked NIP | 73c | 489$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Fluxo | 27c | 465.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked Fluxo | 11c | 458.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Fluxo | 15c | 453.1$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…78cebacked NIP | 70c | 447$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed NIP | 70c | 440$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…2bebbacked NIP | 73c | 431$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…c620backed NIP | 73c | 426$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…7b6ebacked NIP | 72c | 425.28$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…5d1fbacked NIP | 70c | 421$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3527backed NIP | 73c | 419$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…31f4backed NIP | 70c | 414$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo | 13c | 401.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed NIP | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Fluxo | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102a…8ef7backed NIP | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…84e6backed Fluxo | 5c | 399.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fluxo | 11c | 390.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.