CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61aebf6e814075284b7e2dca7ac2e9d3a099df81ee56af9cef6de2fe6eaf4bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Fluxo, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Fluxo | 9c | 7,345$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.85 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo | 11c | 4,858$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.46 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Fluxo | 27c | 3,344$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fluxo | 19c | 2,384$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Fluxo | 13c | 2,355$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.92 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fluxo | 16c | 2,069$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fluxo | 35c | 1,795$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed NIP | 79c | 1,347$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Fluxo | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Fluxo | 36c | 887.71$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Fluxo | 9c | 805$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked NIP | 64c | 780$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Fluxo | 7c | 722$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed NIP | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked NIP | 61c | 580.86$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Fluxo | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Fluxo | 7c | 555$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f70…123dbacked Fluxo | 18c | 548.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.75 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Fluxo | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Fluxo | 8c | 480$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Fluxo | 16c | 466.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…578fbacked NIP | 78c | 454.55$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Fluxo | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Fluxo | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Fluxo | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed NIP | 66c | 166.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Fluxo | 35c | 163.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…7578backed NIP | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed NIP | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Fluxo | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0c5dbacked Fluxo | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fluxo | 14c | 96.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Fluxo | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed NIP | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…9272backed NIP | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed NIP | 66c | 33.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed NIP | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…fa14backed NIP | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -40%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed NIP | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP (BO3)NIP won
- Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.