TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed No38c7,500$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,654.9769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.999625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8407443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No75c2,813$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.9390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c2,766$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.311,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c2,283$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.764,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes70c2,173$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.8274457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes66c1,986$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3207553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes66c1,567$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.8629038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed No76c1,380$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Yes24c1,378$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes24c1,234$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.9114067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No79c964.51$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes24c913.33$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22226242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No77c717.92$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.928254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes27c713.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes25c623.25$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7916926%44 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Yes25c580$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes30c545.78$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.313650%18 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes28c521.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14428342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b2…865ebacked Yes28c507.14$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1421233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c490.96$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes25c458$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.55040%20 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+59.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c438$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.84454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes25c404.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes67c400$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2688550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes28c375$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No74c356.25$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6225648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes24c340$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.62611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes31c329.39$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.111936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d6…874abacked No75c323$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes73c314$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1215036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No60c307.62$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.983360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f7…8a43backed No76c301.81$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.313562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes73c280.69$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0626930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No29c266$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0719662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No46c227.25$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.718125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes31c224.01$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick31cpaid+63.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes25c220$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No73c213.79$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.253246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes23c212.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8138729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x703e…ca29backed No75c204$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes30c198.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.496443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No75c196.66$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No77c189.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6114759.2%87 W · 60 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c168.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0625872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Yes30c167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e9…8f51backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No73c158.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.923855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes25c154.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5414233.8%48 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes25c153.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3917252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-27.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9c67…910abacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006946.4%32 W · 37 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes25c146.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6112722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c132.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.646126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No75c126.08$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5215049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes39c123.82$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.121838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…9036backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed No77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62560%15 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304337.2%16 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…ff39backed Yes27c103.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+156.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Yes80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2212917.8%23 W · 106 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No66c98.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0121842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No59c92.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Yes31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208040%32 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xece7…9822backed Yes67c86.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes72c85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a93cbacked Yes66c83.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes24c83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9248934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206636.4%24 W · 42 L-10.5wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8fd3…446cbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c84…1093backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes66c79.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.048241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes60c73.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1825248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3425…84a6backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3185…937abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.