La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364f12dc2fbdc544aa48343155a18408b1333caa36a7849ca8241b46c45bcfee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $204,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Yes | 48c | 23,595$11,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,325.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 47c | 18,637$8,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.57 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 13,471$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,465.88 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 10,449$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.8 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 67c | 7,846$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.66 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 53c | 6,518$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.57 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 51c | 5,624$2,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.92 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fb…0a53backed Yes | 38c | 4,527$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 11c | 3,867$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.27 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,849$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 53c | 3,666$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.63 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 54c | 2,550$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.48 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 2,055$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,750$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.62 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Yes | 36c | 1,640$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.4 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 52c | 1,300$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 15c | 1,246$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.95 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,238$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.71 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 1,061$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.39 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 32c | 1,053$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.08 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 52c | 929.29$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 26c | 899.42$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 49c | 717.31$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 52c | 716.16$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.76 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 619.24$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.98 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…fae5backed Yes | 50c | 604.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 52c | 567.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.97 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 559$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 555.95$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 61c | 530.84$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 508.09$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes | 35c | 442.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 411.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 410.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 400.31$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.59 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 49c | 355.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.39 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 48c | 341.67$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…b796backed Yes | 43c | 305.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…afadbacked No | 52c | 290$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 60c | 271.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 196 | 62.8%123 W · 73 L | +20.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 18c | 234.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 20c | 217$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a2…4fa8backed Yes | 48c | 206.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 12c | 204.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…6631backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 48c | 192.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 47c | 189$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ba…2652backed Yes | 48c | 176.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 53c | 170.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 47c | 165.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 53c | 137.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 52c | 137$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 44c | 135.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 53c | 133.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 29c | 125.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2979…59e5backed Yes | 35c | 123.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Yes | 45c | 113.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 107.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 106.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 18c | 105.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…c13ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 15c | 95.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked No | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…a59cbacked Yes | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 47c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…51ffbacked Yes | 20c | 76.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?this page
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.