La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8345f9be8e599ba23f1fdb6b92d67a5642a41572f8961be1d98d3b8aa0cb8ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 3,691$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.34 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,993$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.34 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Yes | 42c | 1,845$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,484$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 63c | 1,266$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.35 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 20c | 993.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 28c | 895.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.01 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 73c | 846.9$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 27c | 780.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 35c | 691.28$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 637.48$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 38c | 520.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 494.33$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 13c | 487.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.9 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 409.41$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 44c | 287$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…c106backed Yes | 28c | 279.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 65c | 250$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 248.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 67c | 243.9$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 48c | 210.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 33c | 198.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.7 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 54c | 172.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 17c | 169.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.28 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 58c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…3d44backed Yes | 27c | 113.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed No | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…3217backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…1bf5backed No | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…e727backed Yes | 22c | 79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb531…b230backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 27c | 73.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Yes | 28c | 67.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 59c | 66.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 23c | 54.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…42a5backed Yes | 29c | 45.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…add6backed Yes | 60c | 45.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 71c | 41.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…350cbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?this page
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.