TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Sebastian Baez

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sebastian Baezof Alejandro Tabilo, Sebastian Baez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Alejandro Tabilo48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40010931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sebastian Baez52c28,943$15,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,892.4211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Alejandro Tabilo52c18,958$9,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,928.6455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Alejandro Tabilo44c11,510$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.64759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Sebastian Baez52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.9543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Alejandro Tabilo48c7,710$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sebastian Baez46c7,206$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.571,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Baez57c6,843$3,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.557,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Sebastian Baez51c6,249$3,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.792655.9%518 W · 408 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sebastian Baez60c6,135$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.152,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Baez73c5,508$4,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.456,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Alejandro Tabilo49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Alejandro Tabilo48c4,620$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.638133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Sebastian Baez54c4,551$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.4557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Sebastian Baez52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92022553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sebastian Baez50c3,368$1,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.411,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Alejandro Tabilo48c3,125$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50016746.1%77 W · 90 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sebastian Baez73c3,033$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4928828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Alejandro Tabilo50c3,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Alejandro Tabilo50c3,000$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.026350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Sebastian Baez54c2,783$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.9752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Alejandro Tabilo48c2,496$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19839431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Alejandro Tabilo49c2,359$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.0876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Sebastian Baez53c2,334$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.9881047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Alejandro Tabilo37c2,183$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80042344%186 W · 237 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Alejandro Tabilo49c2,049$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Sebastian Baez51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9807163.4%45 W · 26 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Sebastian Baez53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9409452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Sebastian Baez53c1,900$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8933743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Baez45c1,850$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.56,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Sebastian Baez45c1,729$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.9575648.7%368 W · 388 L+16.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Alejandro Tabilo40c1,727$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.971,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Alejandro Tabilo46c1,665$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.2524448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Alejandro Tabilo47c1,600$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.5181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Sebastian Baez50c1,593$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7911,11043%477 W · 633 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Alejandro Tabilo50c1,405$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf204…9c52backed Alejandro Tabilo40c1,300$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Alejandro Tabilo55c1,267$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Baez52c1,232$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.254,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Sebastian Baez52c1,122$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.486168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alejandro Tabilo45c1,099$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.482,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Alejandro Tabilo48c1,047$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5531332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Alejandro Tabilo34c1,026$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sebastian Baez52c1,019$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.281,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Baez73c1,004$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.382,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…c74abacked Sebastian Baez50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Alejandro Tabilo36c999.99$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Sebastian Baez52c961.51$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5320542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sebastian Baez53c897.06$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.621,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Alejandro Tabilo56c842.86$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47238652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Alejandro Tabilo48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed Alejandro Tabilo47c817.43$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.133729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Sebastian Baez52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38414536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Sebastian Baez51c799.94$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.974562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Alejandro Tabilo51c782.41$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020548.8%100 W · 105 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Alejandro Tabilo47c779.98$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Alejandro Tabilo46c676.41$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Sebastian Baez51c665.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3417462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sebastian Baez51c655.92$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.411045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Alejandro Tabilo47c610.4$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8420043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Alejandro Tabilo45c564.96$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0634745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sebastian Baez53c561.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.265459%386 W · 268 L-31.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Alejandro Tabilo48c549.27$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.6524350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Sebastian Baez54c535.72$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.547943%34 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sebastian Baez66c525.51$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.878,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Alejandro Tabilo49c514.71$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Sebastian Baez62c510.29$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.395565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Alejandro Tabilo50c502$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Sebastian Baez52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2406639.4%26 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Alejandro Tabilo45c499.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.54,07039.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L+92.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Tabilo55c465.44$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.6611,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Alejandro Tabilo48c460.62$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1943042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sebastian Baez53c421.54$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.121,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Sebastian Baez48c420.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9437854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Sebastian Baez52c413.08$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sebastian Baez53c411$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Sebastian Baez50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Sebastian Baez45c399.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9939438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Sebastian Baez54c399.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Sebastian Baez52c391$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Alejandro Tabilo49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Sebastian Baez52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Alejandro Tabilo47c383.55$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2594940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Alejandro Tabilo48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1809453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Sebastian Baez51c367.07$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4623847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Sebastian Baez55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6427935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Sebastian Baez53c358.55$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5237339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Alejandro Tabilo47c349$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.061,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Alejandro Tabilo8c328.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2520515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…9433backed Sebastian Baez55c321.82$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.821947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Alejandro Tabilo48c314.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Sebastian Baez52c299.59$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.391,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Sebastian Baez43c296.54$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0318447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Alejandro Tabilo52c290.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506134.4%21 W · 40 L-11.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Sebastian Baez53c288.68$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.684250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Sebastian Baez54c272.22$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2266938.9%260 W · 409 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Alejandro Tabilo45c270$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a37…7b01backed Alejandro Tabilo48c267.58$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.442454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alejandro Tabilo54c261.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.121,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Alejandro Tabilo57c250$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.