NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x081b78c5c02289904d8248e143cbd3d2cd433d16d6ffe055f2af4413c191fa5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knightsof Ducks, Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Ducks | 34c | 55,000$18,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,449.95 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Knights | 67c | 39,960$26,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,219.25 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knights | 68c | 37,300$25,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,852.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Knights | 65c | 14,823$9,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…bf55backed Ducks | 38c | 12,335$4,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Ducks | 34c | 10,656$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Knights | 75c | 10,547$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 26c | 10,500$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Knights | 68c | 8,921$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,843.43 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Ducks | 32c | 8,194$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.52 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Ducks | 17c | 7,236$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.3 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Ducks | 41c | 5,000$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.36 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Knights | 74c | 4,956$3,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.37 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Ducks | 28c | 4,725$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.5 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Knights | 61c | 3,784$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.83 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Ducks | 27c | 2,385$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Ducks | 39c | 2,344$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Knights | 65c | 1,695$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.55 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…860dbacked Ducks | 30c | 1,640$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Knights | 78c | 1,545$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Ducks | 30c | 1,364$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ducks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Knights | 78c | 991.12$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Ducks | 41c | 975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Ducks | 35c | 911.17$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67cd…e364backed Ducks | 33c | 899.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Ducks | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Ducks | 34c | 839.28$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Knights | 63c | 814.49$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Ducks | 35c | 618.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Ducks | 31c | 605$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Ducks | 26c | 587.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.68 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Knights | 65c | 571.42$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Ducks | 24c | 549.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…3f7cbacked Knights | 64c | 512.02$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Knights | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Ducks | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Ducks | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Ducks | 32c | 482.1$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Knights | 75c | 373.24$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Ducks | 22c | 366.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Knights | 67c | 353.39$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2e…d3cabacked Ducks | 8c | 348.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…218ebacked Ducks | 29c | 346.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…1d50backed Ducks | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Knights | 62c | 269.98$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knights | 60c | 252.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.97 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Ducks | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Ducks | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…8c0bbacked Knights | 75c | 204.9$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…4cc1backed Ducks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Knights | 65c | 183.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Knights | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Knights | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Knights | 61c | 149.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…05b8backed Ducks | 33c | 121.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Ducks | 26c | 111.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Ducks | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ducks | 22c | 104.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…f4c9backed Knights | 60c | 101.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…e35bbacked Ducks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Ducks | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29a…09c7backed Ducks | 13c | 95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Ducks | 47c | 92.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked Ducks | 41c | 78.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Knights | 61c | 78.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Ducks | 36c | 71.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…21babacked Knights | 70c | 71.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Knights | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…0e90backed Ducks | 30c | 65.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Knights | 65c | 64.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc0…ff30backed Knights | 65c | 61.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Ducks | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Ducks | 37c | 56.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Ducks | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Ducks | 29c | 52.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…620cbacked Knights | 78c | 50.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…2ba5backed Ducks | 25c | 40.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aeb…39c8backed Ducks | 34c | 39.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Knights | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Knights | 68c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked Knights | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…a078backed Ducks | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3941…7283backed Ducks | 38c | 29.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Knights | 70c | 27.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Knights | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd633…8e29backed Ducks | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…6736backed Knights | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…1af5backed Knights | 61c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…1a5ebacked Knights | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…f175backed Knights | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.