TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bucaramanga: Vladyslav Orlov vs Nicolas Villalon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Villalonof Vladyslav Orlov, Nicolas Villalon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,101 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3846…9742backed Vladyslav Orlov62c1,572$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.833366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Vladyslav Orlov33c1,404$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.792,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nicolas Villalon65c1,331$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Vladyslav Orlov43c1,322$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.1555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nicolas Villalon40c1,200$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7263,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolas Villalon70c879.05$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.176,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Nicolas Villalon69c772.27$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2394,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Vladyslav Orlov60c645.46$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2840744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Nicolas Villalon38c500$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31246932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde4a…ee6dbacked Nicolas Villalon43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854528.9%13 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nicolas Villalon70c497$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.14,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nicolas Villalon60c475.57$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.567,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Vladyslav Orlov60c409.09$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3611158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolas Villalon41c346.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.716,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5c…2ee3backed Vladyslav Orlov34c328.84$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.932416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolas Villalon38c285.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.231,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Nicolas Villalon37c270$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.16344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Nicolas Villalon70c264.57$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.613748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Nicolas Villalon40c248.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2421149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c5…99d8backed Nicolas Villalon62c232.44$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5612853.9%69 W · 59 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nicolas Villalon40c222.41$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.331,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Nicolas Villalon67c211.89$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6595846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicolas Villalon38c189.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.311,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Vladyslav Orlov29c171.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Villalon65c169.4$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.514,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Vladyslav Orlov60c167$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.238268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Vladyslav Orlov60c163$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.855660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c7d…d1c9backed Vladyslav Orlov63c157.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nicolas Villalon37c151.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.241,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Vladyslav Orlov30c133.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.493,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Nicolas Villalon53c111.37$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2726349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Vladyslav Orlov71c110$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nicolas Villalon41c109.09$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.361,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Vladyslav Orlov61c102$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.221,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Vladyslav Orlov30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Nicolas Villalon37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Vladyslav Orlov43c99.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Vladyslav Orlov22c92.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204951%25 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Nicolas Villalon39c89.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.897146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Vladyslav Orlov60c86.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.91,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Vladyslav Orlov58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017051.8%88 W · 82 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Villalon52c84.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.957,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Vladyslav Orlov32c84.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.032,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Vladyslav Orlov64c80.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1923865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Nicolas Villalon71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.258048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…7febbacked Vladyslav Orlov34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.212444.4%55 W · 69 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Nicolas Villalon40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4569253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vladyslav Orlov59c73.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.647,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46c7…e929backed Nicolas Villalon41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.174864.6%31 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Villalon70c73.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.091,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Nicolas Villalon70c72.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8641658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vladyslav Orlov34c69.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.638,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Nicolas Villalon51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6394549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Nicolas Villalon55c67.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6734950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…f506backed Vladyslav Orlov62c60.11$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.272060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nicolas Villalon70c58.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6939955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nicolas Villalon67c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Nicolas Villalon41c49.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.952,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Vladyslav Orlov60c47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.296844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa633…1cf7backed Vladyslav Orlov58c46.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e98…2550backed Nicolas Villalon43c45.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.813348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Vladyslav Orlov32c44.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3911650.9%59 W · 57 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Vladyslav Orlov32c43.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74a…34c8backed Vladyslav Orlov36c41.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Vladyslav Orlov54c40.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0316957.4%97 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Vladyslav Orlov34c40.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4929533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Nicolas Villalon42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.247453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Nicolas Villalon70c39.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8911547%54 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c47…1189backed Nicolas Villalon41c39.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.023455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ae…224cbacked Nicolas Villalon66c36.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.514153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e7…a447backed Vladyslav Orlov62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204560%27 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Vladyslav Orlov32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Nicolas Villalon58c31.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0610152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b9f…1661backed Nicolas Villalon41c29.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Nicolas Villalon78c27$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0638460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Nicolas Villalon68c25.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2216369.3%113 W · 50 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Vladyslav Orlov61c25.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Vladyslav Orlov50c25.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.584,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Nicolas Villalon69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7458067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ac…a435backed Nicolas Villalon70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.431464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nicolas Villalon66c20.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Vladyslav Orlov66c19.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed Vladyslav Orlov60c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Vladyslav Orlov61c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nicolas Villalon71c16.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8511352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55cd…8fc1backed Vladyslav Orlov64c15.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Vladyslav Orlov64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.