TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed Yes23c18,123$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.292737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No78c11,738$9,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.3121143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No77c8,557$6,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.0721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57b…1d60backed No65c6,752$4,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c6,382$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.371,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No79c5,070$4,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.73767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No69c3,202$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes21c2,508$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.691926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c2,408$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.8187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c2,386$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No71c2,301$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.381457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No78c1,827$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No78c1,380$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Yes21c1,050$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.580%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Yes21c1,050$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22180%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes22c1,029$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.3815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c919.9$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No77c782.24$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.222360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c700$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6104122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c600$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c582$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c515.82$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c450.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes22c435.25$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.712540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No77c395$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8510545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No77c351.98$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes22c289.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.89846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes22c257$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes22c250.01$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No12c250$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22013246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bf…5004backed Yes19c246.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes23c232.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.483033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes22c227.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No78c204.16$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No17c192.02$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1811916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes33c178.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.565322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaae6…095ebacked Yes22c163.93$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd019…4ee0backed Yes41c146.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.57714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Yes73c140$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No78c128$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.162759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…457bbacked No64c122.39$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Yes42c104.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.881872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2422340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes33c97.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes58c96.69$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No31c95.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.971931.6%6 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No73c94.1$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.354170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes19c93.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No78c89.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7710855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes80c87.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42db…23dbbacked Yes80c87.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No79c79.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7911753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f86…a88dbacked Yes80c72.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea72…d821backed No80c72.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c67.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.591,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes22c62.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed No63c62.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55cd…8fc1backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1118245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1120454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes22c47.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3635037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c43.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked No47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No74c39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.313847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked No69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf6…2971backed No78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.69661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.655747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093b…4e14backed No78c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.63476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No70c27.49$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1315649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked No42c27.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.82334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.510960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.59467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.59767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c24.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1924052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No65c21.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c1…1bebbacked No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No67c19.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.6846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2fa…bec1backed Yes80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.