World Politics · resolved market
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7db2dbb3b47a6a532849ee3edd147d16fec311af4f40329f1ea8c45feb60b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $418,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 40c | 25,476$10,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,167.27 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1255…dc0fbacked No | 25c | 24,965$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 15,128$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.36 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 76c | 11,376$8,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.96 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 14c | 11,275$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 12c | 8,268$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked No | 9c | 8,043$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 79c | 7,517$5,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.41 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 6,573$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.31 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 76c | 5,948$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 19c | 5,394$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.4 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 67c | 5,280$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.32 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 31c | 5,180$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 76c | 4,500$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.99 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 18c | 4,412$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.53 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…39f9backed No | 44c | 4,277$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 4,119$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 30c | 4,024$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.82 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 74c | 3,938$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked No | 21c | 3,807$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 77c | 3,662$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…a504backed No | 15c | 3,642$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 14cpaid | +245.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Yes | 78c | 3,250$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 77c | 3,199$2,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.93 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 71c | 2,939$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543e…8884backed No | 25c | 2,829$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Yes | 80c | 2,710$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 27c | 2,638$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.43 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf39…3101backed Yes | 50c | 2,545$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 19c | 2,486$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 20c | 2,392$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.43 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 25c | 2,217$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.44 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 77c | 2,050$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 15c | 2,044$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 1c | 2,038$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 18c | 1,938$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 1,928$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.49 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 67c | 1,777$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,775$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,729$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 1,584$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.46 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,500$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…0a39backed No | 9c | 1,495$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 75c | 1,488$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 1,483$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 21c | 1,445$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.92 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 47c | 1,425$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.78 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Yes | 73c | 1,359$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +360.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Yes | 45c | 1,332$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.6 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…d5f8backed No | 20c | 1,262$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 80c | 1,242$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 13c | 1,218$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.98 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,113$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 19c | 1,100$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…5fa5backed Yes | 73c | 963.36$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…f2b4backed Yes | 56c | 914.46$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked Yes | 79c | 900$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 15c | 888.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 17c | 861.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 17c | 849.63$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 13c | 849$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 15c | 847$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Yes | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…b51fbacked Yes | 70c | 793.6$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 44c | 786.85$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…93c1backed Yes | 80c | 785$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 14c | 775.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…5781backed Yes | 75c | 771.98$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 720.88$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.73 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 79c | 717.69$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…4499backed Yes | 53c | 645.49$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 20c | 624.9$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 26c | 614.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 62c | 606$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…aeb8backed Yes | 75c | 600$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 15c | 582$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 20c | 573.39$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…30ffbacked Yes | 58c | 551.3$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 18c | 530.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 59c | 522.84$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.33 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…5006backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 80c | 496$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e5…7127backed No | 21c | 476$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 17c | 448.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 23c | 444.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…e03abacked No | 25c | 443.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +216.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 11c | 439.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +1,619.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fa4backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed Yes | 72c | 391.5$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…3ebcbacked Yes | 76c | 389.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…0c6abacked Yes | 77c | 388.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 46c | 379$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 77c | 375.81$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?this page
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Kim Do-eup win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Kim Young-choon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Park Jae-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
- Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.