TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Austin: Paula Badosa vs Gabriela Ruse

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paula Badosaof Paula Badosa, Gabriela Ruse
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,247 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Paula Badosa53c2,145$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.152,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Gabriela Ruse59c2,108$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.1731647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Gabriela Ruse56c1,815$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.035242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Paula Badosa60c1,751$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.4930241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Paula Badosa31c1,294$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.531,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Paula Badosa69c1,062$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.271,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Paula Badosa40c996.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.1144038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Paula Badosa48c838.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.398240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Gabriela Ruse64c785.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50054450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Paula Badosa58c686.13$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.1394549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Gabriela Ruse64c652.48$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.042,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Gabriela Ruse38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22846932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gabriela Ruse39c591.43$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.664,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Paula Badosa27c587.09$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.091,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Gabriela Ruse74c510$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37770652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3a…d09bbacked Paula Badosa61c450.86$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x674f…2c09backed Gabriela Ruse43c436.11$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriela Ruse61c406.59$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.66,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Paula Badosa29c406.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.492,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Paula Badosa44c404.48$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.74,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Gabriela Ruse64c371.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23827566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Gabriela Ruse68c366.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Paula Badosa40c336.57$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5749342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Paula Badosa34c334.12$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.7262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paula Badosa40c308.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.228,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gabriela Ruse67c307.61$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.449,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Paula Badosa45c307$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.9497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paula Badosa46c289$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gabriela Ruse52c260.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.692,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Paula Badosa30c230.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.081,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Gabriela Ruse44c225.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Gabriela Ruse75c221.87$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16646565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Gabriela Ruse63c221.31$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Paula Badosa49c210.69$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.451,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Gabriela Ruse62c203.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1838147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gabriela Ruse63c186.88$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.232,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b14…4e3bbacked Paula Badosa28c186.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.431136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Paula Badosa52c173.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.181,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gabriela Ruse39c171.15$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Paula Badosa33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.524930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Gabriela Ruse69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Paula Badosa34c141.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.181,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Paula Badosa36c138.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.165149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40b…3418backed Paula Badosa56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Gabriela Ruse70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7035559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Paula Badosa61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Paula Badosa36c93.03$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5415742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gabriela Ruse55c64.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.73,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Paula Badosa34c62.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1223429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Paula Badosa55c61.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.617,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paula Badosa31c59.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.286,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Paula Badosa55c58.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.531,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a66…2c23backed Gabriela Ruse57c54.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Gabriela Ruse39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gabriela Ruse43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Gabriela Ruse28c45.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5412245.1%55 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Paula Badosa57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.868655.8%48 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Paula Badosa43c42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9435032.3%113 W · 237 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Gabriela Ruse69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50aa…0003backed Gabriela Ruse77c36.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.278353%44 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paula Badosa65c36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.734,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gabriela Ruse59c34.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.667,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed Paula Badosa59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.94667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x674c…6dabbacked Gabriela Ruse64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205455.6%30 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gabriela Ruse40c30.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.167,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paula Badosa42c30.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4958048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Paula Badosa64c28.86$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.391,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a1…7758backed Paula Badosa62c28.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.844671.7%33 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paula Badosa46c28.61$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.526,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a4e…0781backed Gabriela Ruse40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f7…0e8cbacked Paula Badosa61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Gabriela Ruse64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Paula Badosa59c21.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9112192.6%112 W · 9 L+33.2wins+0.27per pick65cpaid+41.9%equal weight75+0.23 edge/pick
0x9a00…56c6backed Paula Badosa59c20.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.272962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Gabriela Ruse58c19.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-71.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3248…a66abacked Gabriela Ruse65c18.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Gabriela Ruse56c18.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2465264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Paula Badosa67c15.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.