Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota State Bison vs. Omaha Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714e753fadcdff4caef593d0c87637f085b26b8a0f9fc0ff02b3da663778fe84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota State Bison, Omaha Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 5,170$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Omaha Mavericks | 51c | 2,525$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.43 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Omaha Mavericks | 4c | 999.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Dakota State Bison | 78c | 987.16$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.56 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Omaha Mavericks | 47c | 964$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.72 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked North Dakota State Bison | 31c | 659.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Dakota State Bison | 42c | 634$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 48c | 603.25$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Omaha Mavericks | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 18c | 482.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Omaha Mavericks | 56c | 434$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.1 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota State Bison | 21c | 432$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Omaha Mavericks | 42c | 412.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 56c | 381.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Dakota State Bison | 51c | 375$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Dakota State Bison | 32c | 357.26$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.61 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Omaha Mavericks | 66c | 317.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Omaha Mavericks | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Omaha Mavericks | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Omaha Mavericks | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed North Dakota State Bison | 40c | 177.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.16 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed North Dakota State Bison | 11c | 158.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed North Dakota State Bison | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Omaha Mavericks | 45c | 139$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed North Dakota State Bison | 68c | 127$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Omaha Mavericks | 50c | 118.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked North Dakota State Bison | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Omaha Mavericks | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed North Dakota State Bison | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Omaha Mavericks | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Omaha Mavericks | 55c | 77.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed North Dakota State Bison | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Omaha Mavericks | 49c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed North Dakota State Bison | 66c | 65.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed North Dakota State Bison | 26c | 57.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked North Dakota State Bison | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Omaha Mavericks | 60c | 46.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 51c | 40.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Dakota State Bison | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked North Dakota State Bison | 39c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Omaha Mavericks | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omaha Mavericks | 64c | 34.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed North Dakota State Bison | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 39c | 33.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Omaha Mavericks | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Omaha Mavericks | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0f…1132backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Omaha Mavericks | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota State Bison | 67c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked North Dakota State Bison | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Omaha Mavericks | 77c | 19.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Omaha Mavericksthis page
- North Dakota State Bison vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.