NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47509cb49fd821a3786d45e1e7706ae1bc3f8f65d50e58e81c4f946fa21db2da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Traktor | 22c | 3,367$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 80c | 2,316$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Traktor | 23c | 1,189$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.71 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 772.35$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 280.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 264.29$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 257.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 245.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…d5e6backed Traktor | 49c | 223$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Traktor | 30c | 222.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Traktor | 31c | 143.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 107.14$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 87.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 71.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 71.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 57c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Traktor | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 49.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 17.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 16.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.