Commodities · resolved market
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19058ec62c40958f43bf9c0539303aeb341a0d577cf33b11f6158bba5475ed84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf058…f8c8backed Down | 8c | 1,566$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…efc0backed Up | 36c | 1,203$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +181%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…0563backed Up | 59c | 996.17$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Up | 67c | 985.21$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.25 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Down | 31c | 887.71$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4adc…e731backed Up | 47c | 660.32$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…6221backed Down | 70c | 634.71$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…ffb0backed Up | 47c | 615.96$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…24b0backed Up | 47c | 607.53$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Down | 31c | 520.23$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc5…f5e1backed Down | 77c | 387.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096b…f1a5backed Up | 51c | 332.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Up | 51c | 300.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Down | 44c | 205.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…4e90backed Down | 50c | 193.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9e…2f8bbacked Down | 50c | 193.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…169abacked Down | 50c | 192.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…8b05backed Down | 50c | 192.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca63…7e5bbacked Down | 50c | 192.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…bd06backed Down | 50c | 192.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…59f1backed Down | 50c | 192.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…a568backed Down | 50c | 191.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…cc50backed Down | 50c | 191.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…9cd6backed Down | 50c | 189.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f3…09b1backed Up | 50c | 189.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…248dbacked Up | 50c | 189.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf468…7803backed Down | 50c | 189.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…bb05backed Up | 50c | 188.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…1a7abacked Down | 50c | 188.16$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7332…f02ebacked Down | 50c | 187.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754a…caf0backed Up | 50c | 187.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209d…2b50backed Up | 50c | 187.54$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…be26backed Up | 50c | 187.52$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd6…dca1backed Up | 50c | 187.24$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…51b4backed Up | 50c | 187.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…9c31backed Down | 50c | 186.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…3477backed Up | 50c | 186.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cb…9de5backed Up | 50c | 186.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4310…2c2ebacked Up | 50c | 186.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…0002backed Down | 50c | 186.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…ee18backed Down | 50c | 185.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1251…770dbacked Down | 50c | 185.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…739bbacked Up | 50c | 185.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…d4ebbacked Up | 50c | 185.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…3a7fbacked Up | 50c | 185.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…1f59backed Up | 50c | 185.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…4e86backed Down | 50c | 184.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…c03bbacked Down | 50c | 184.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…338bbacked Up | 50c | 184.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…939cbacked Up | 50c | 183.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…07f7backed Up | 50c | 183.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…cbe8backed Up | 50c | 182.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…c364backed Up | 50c | 180.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Up | 55c | 176.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…f20cbacked Down | 68c | 159.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Down | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…9734backed Down | 70c | 143.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Up | 75c | 128.78$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…4935backed Down | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Down | 28c | 115.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48eb…4addbacked Down | 65c | 102.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Down | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Up | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabfd…8ef0backed Down | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Up | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Up | 36c | 95.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…1bb6backed Down | 69c | 95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Down | 27c | 93.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2607…e7e7backed Up | 21c | 90.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Up | 77c | 81.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Up | 31c | 80.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…3191backed Up | 52c | 73.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Up | 26c | 72.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…68e7backed Down | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Down | 59c | 69.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked Down | 51c | 67.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0237…e7b2backed Up | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Up | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Up | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…c2e0backed Down | 55c | 49.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed Down | 49c | 49.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef0…1812backed Up | 50c | 49.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…9d93backed Up | 74c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1a…0524backed Up | 68c | 45.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Down | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…63fdbacked Up | 59c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…5797backed Down | 64c | 31.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Down | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…15babacked Up | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e21…6acdbacked Down | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd4…d37abacked Down | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6952backed Up | 61c | 27.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…f5fdbacked Down | 57c | 27.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…a539backed Up | 46c | 26.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…2441backed Up | 75c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…4e8cbacked Up | 69c | 24.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61c…df96backed Down | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…b800backed Down | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…b070backed Down | 63c | 15.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.