Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56bc23abdfeb936cbc9f6834142af50a6e8f71a618efd68545610728fb3bbc73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Merrimack College Warriors, Saint Peter's Peacocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $589,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 56c | 576,982$322,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254,417.57 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 267,915$117,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,882.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 147,560$64,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,926.45 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 3,033$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.14 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 2,118$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.41 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 1,691$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.45 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 665$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 576.61$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 10c | 308.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 214.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Merrimack College Warriors | 16c | 205.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 188$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 32c | 181.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 170$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Merrimack College Warriors | 10c | 150.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Merrimack College Warriors | 34c | 132.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 61c | 122.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Merrimack College Warriors | 33c | 116.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 20c | 104.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Merrimack College Warriors | 43c | 103.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 74.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Merrimack College Warriors | 42c | 63.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 71c | 56.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 36c | 55.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 47.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 34c | 46.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…639ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 31.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…be96backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 31.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…d7f3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 54c | 31.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…f46abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 31.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 29.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33b…fa01backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 56c | 18.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksthis page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 130.5Over won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 132.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)Saint Peter's Peacocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.