Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b1e3e9d907886a753157fef3da044bf769080660f419d5d593647290357cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 3,873$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.87 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 2,205$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 1,759$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.54 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Merrimack College Warriors | 49c | 1,378$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.39 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 732.9$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 47c | 504$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 458.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 48c | 220.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 200.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Merrimack College Warriors | 9c | 194.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 138.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 53c | 58.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 52c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 27.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Merrimack College Warriors | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-1.5)this page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's PeacocksSaint Peter's Peacocks won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 130.5Over won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 132.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.