TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Tomas Etcheverry vs Arthur Fery

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Fery
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x779a…ca34backed Fery42c22,107$9,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,263.384060%24 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Fery42c17,946$7,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,557.685064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Etcheverry60c10,135$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,016.5493055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Fery40c8,359$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.412,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Etcheverry57c8,233$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,540.3476146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Fery40c7,932$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,172.883537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Etcheverry60c7,668$4,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,074.985563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Etcheverry60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Etcheverry60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00017823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Fery40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.998142%34 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Etcheverry59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.9743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Etcheverry70c4,093$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.7718047.2%85 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Etcheverry78c4,070$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.282,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Fery36c4,070$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.4919846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Etcheverry58c3,607$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.9524846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Etcheverry64c3,129$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.9148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Etcheverry58c2,793$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.1839144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Etcheverry57c2,264$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.198,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd289…079fbacked Fery9c2,126$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.662568%17 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x446e…0dbcbacked Etcheverry60c2,056$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Fery43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.996141%25 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Fery40c1,875$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Fery1c1,866$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Etcheverry57c1,563$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1211941.2%49 W · 70 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked Etcheverry60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a9…35fcbacked Etcheverry57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6451872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Fery40c1,479$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.61,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Fery40c1,262$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.771,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Fery41c1,171$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.715658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Fery34c1,061$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.519023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Fery40c1,047$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Fery41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41045457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Etcheverry60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40028444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x296e…a116backed Fery23c999.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23050%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed Fery44c909.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Fery40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36081047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Etcheverry57c835.38$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.211478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Etcheverry73c831.5$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.783,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Etcheverry60c827.69$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272b…0a6ebacked Fery41c758.54$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3118245.1%37 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Fery42c745$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.6913351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fery20c684$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.372,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Fery40c674$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.624448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Fery39c657.22$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8243042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Fery40c631.03$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Etcheverry59c598.66$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6665651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Etcheverry58c578$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.191,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Etcheverry73c556.52$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.672,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Etcheverry58c543$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.067,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d1…4ebcbacked Etcheverry62c500.08$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Fery40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b48…ecadbacked Etcheverry61c490.26$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.26837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Fery42c471.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Etcheverry58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0378152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Etcheverry58c413.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.7943448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1761…502abacked Etcheverry57c403.86$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Fery41c382.31$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Etcheverry59c379.96$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.952,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Etcheverry55c363.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7811046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fery38c353.53$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.341,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Etcheverry64c338.7$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.222,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Etcheverry60c333.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.037041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf463…8e9dbacked Etcheverry60c322$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Fery41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Fery39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Fery5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Fery37c299.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11212740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Fery39c299.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.992123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Etcheverry60c299$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.69744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Etcheverry57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.410350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Etcheverry61c275.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1651849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Etcheverry70c272.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4312154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Etcheverry60c253.11$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1171857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Etcheverry59c245$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3518247.3%86 W · 96 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Etcheverry68c236.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.292,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Fery43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Fery40c221.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4716340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…55a0backed Etcheverry58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.524748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Etcheverry57c215.11$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.881,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Etcheverry57c204.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.012445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8461…aafebacked Etcheverry57c202$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ae…2008backed Fery43c202$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d3…6d86backed Etcheverry57c201$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3711…be5dbacked Fery43c201$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Fery8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16783.8%3 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Etcheverry58c199.99$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9949142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Etcheverry59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4415751%80 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Fery41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ba…302bbacked Etcheverry64c178.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Etcheverry57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Etcheverry58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Etcheverry58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Etcheverry59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Etcheverry59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Etcheverry59c168.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.652,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Etcheverry65c167.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Etcheverry60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673935.9%14 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Fery40c164.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9924634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fb…8179backed Etcheverry60c164.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.93063.3%19 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Etcheverry61c163.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.241,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.