Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Robert Morris Colonials
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4fd3fd2de62e4191d20c548e83113b7ba7c623788aa20a3262afb2c9d021f3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Robert Morris Colonials
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,690
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,690 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 35c | 1,429$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.91 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 39c | 717.14$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Robert Morris Colonials | 38c | 707$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Robert Morris Colonials | 34c | 570.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.81 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 66c | 542.65$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Robert Morris Colonials | 10c | 531.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Robert Morris Colonials | 64c | 430$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Robert Morris Colonials | 61c | 301.81$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 34c | 215.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 156.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 42c | 143.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Robert Morris Colonials | 15c | 137.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Morris Colonials | 12c | 117.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed Robert Morris Colonials | 14c | 105.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 18cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 94.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 66c | 77.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 55.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 50.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 63c | 49.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Robert Morris Colonials | 34c | 47.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robert Morris Colonials | 39c | 35.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…63cbbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 25.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Robert Morris Colonials | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Robert Morris Colonialsthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.