TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
American Eaglesof Navy Midshipmen, American Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7406…0992backed American Eagles42c10,531$4,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,108.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d78…e09ebacked Navy Midshipmen58c6,159$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0f…5aabbacked Navy Midshipmen58c4,372$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed American Eagles62c4,227$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked American Eagles45c3,680$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.9381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Navy Midshipmen10c3,546$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Navy Midshipmen45c3,458$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.685,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Navy Midshipmen1c3,165$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed American Eagles41c1,942$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.9939744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed American Eagles49c1,823$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2216135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Navy Midshipmen55c1,585$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.231,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed American Eagles43c1,286$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cb…1952backed Navy Midshipmen1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Navy Midshipmen56c916.23$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51213350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Navy Midshipmen8c802.78$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654522.2%10 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+51.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Navy Midshipmen5c800$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405024%12 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Navy Midshipmen57c778.03$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.381,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Navy Midshipmen18c749.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2148051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked American Eagles44c707.03$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.712,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Navy Midshipmen57c661.23$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6211850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Navy Midshipmen58c650$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Navy Midshipmen50c540.4$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.115743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Navy Midshipmen58c534$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.772,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy Midshipmen51c533.46$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.414,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked American Eagles43c522$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.152,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Navy Midshipmen58c506.82$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9689850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Navy Midshipmen49c493.65$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.155133.3%17 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Navy Midshipmen19c487.48$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Navy Midshipmen59c424.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25045351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed American Eagles44c351.32$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3337835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Navy Midshipmen8c346.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.062,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Navy Midshipmen59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.64858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed Navy Midshipmen58c260$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.86767.2%45 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy Midshipmen18c238.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.861,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Navy Midshipmen12c236.97$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2817122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked American Eagles43c234$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed American Eagles43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f5…8be3backed Navy Midshipmen46c224.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3612733.9%43 W · 84 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Navy Midshipmen55c211$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.051,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cda…bdc3backed Navy Midshipmen54c208$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4b…4604backed American Eagles46c203$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7222…ba8fbacked American Eagles46c202$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b8…57e2backed Navy Midshipmen54c197$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed American Eagles47c191.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4949849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Navy Midshipmen56c177.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Navy Midshipmen59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005050%25 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Navy Midshipmen50c160.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked American Eagles43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.210652.8%56 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Navy Midshipmen34c132.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.22,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed American Eagles48c132.48$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8913735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed American Eagles50c123.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed American Eagles43c108.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Navy Midshipmen14c107.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1745644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked American Eagles43c101.49$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Navy Midshipmen53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Navy Midshipmen57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Navy Midshipmen10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked American Eagles42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5827048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Navy Midshipmen59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed American Eagles42c96.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4435050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Navy Midshipmen43c95.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Navy Midshipmen55c91.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Navy Midshipmen59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Navy Midshipmen59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Navy Midshipmen47c81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0736942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Navy Midshipmen33c79.36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8332343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Navy Midshipmen55c76.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.472,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Navy Midshipmen51c74.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Navy Midshipmen19c74.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Navy Midshipmen16c73.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3423544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42bf…30f7backed Navy Midshipmen55c66.42$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.531030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6d…492bbacked American Eagles45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335048%24 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Navy Midshipmen59c50.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Navy Midshipmen24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Navy Midshipmen42c49.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6318241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed American Eagles65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Navy Midshipmen57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…4fddbacked American Eagles42c32.78$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…7f6abacked Navy Midshipmen58c32.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Navy Midshipmen59c32.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.274,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf6…5cc2backed American Eagles65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Navy Midshipmen49c29.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6618844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ed…b908backed American Eagles42c27.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c9…cca9backed Navy Midshipmen58c27.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed American Eagles53c24.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bb9…84babacked Navy Midshipmen42c24.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ad…44febacked Navy Midshipmen58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.610151.5%52 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a3…880bbacked Navy Midshipmen57c19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+77.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Navy Midshipmen59c17.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0417661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.