NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a0b614098386175c9ca12a168f64c0f8dfb26f8e54e350f8d9d1e7e95021cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Ak Bars Kazan, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 1,700$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 1,700$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ak Bars Kazan | 70c | 1,019$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.61 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 31c | 644.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.04 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 28c | 453$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.16 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 31c | 275.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Ak Bars Kazan | 67c | 210.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 207$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 139.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 91.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 54c | 90.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 32c | 70.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 66.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 37c | 43.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…ae0bbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 74c | 20.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.