NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Shanghai Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb198521aaccd2948ecaaa8279f5d29093ef585d5d16b1afdc01872af0484f94a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, Shanghai Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Shanghai Dragons | 25c | 698.78$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked CSKA Moscow | 75c | 664.21$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 254$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed CSKA Moscow | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…c162backed CSKA Moscow | 76c | 138.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Shanghai Dragons | 25c | 133.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed CSKA Moscow | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked CSKA Moscow | 73c | 129.03$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed CSKA Moscow | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Shanghai Dragons | 24c | 122.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 121.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked CSKA Moscow | 72c | 116$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked CSKA Moscow | 74c | 103$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Shanghai Dragons | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…7557backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 90.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked CSKA Moscow | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked CSKA Moscow | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked CSKA Moscow | 71c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Shanghai Dragons | 53c | 70.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed CSKA Moscow | 71c | 66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed CSKA Moscow | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked CSKA Moscow | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Shanghai Dragons | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Shanghai Dragons | 72c | 41.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Shanghai Dragons | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Shanghai Dragons | 27c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked CSKA Moscow | 74c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…d781backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed CSKA Moscow | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.