TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55dc…7557

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.47
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Spartak Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Amur Khabarovsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Flyers vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$22
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. HC Dynamo Moscowbacked HC Dynamo Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
KHL: Torpedo vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked Torpedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43.8%+$70.12
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Shanghai Dragonsbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$23.54
KHL: Traktor vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Traktor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Utah vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$35.84
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Metallurg Magnitogorskbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.04
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+138.1%+$35.21
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Jets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$12
Rangers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+70.3%+$25.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.25
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.87
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$26.43
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+50.4%+$23.7
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+43%+$59.35
Australian Open Women's: Polina Kudermetova vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Australian Open Women's: Maria Sakkari vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$14.09
Brisbane International: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gastonbacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.89
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+49.3%+$21.18
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.36
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77.6
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.71
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+34.8%+$18.99
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.72
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Monacobacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Panathinaikos vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stagebacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$37.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$83.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.