Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Maria Sakkari vs Leolia Jeanjean
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e4f78d26e79c42945cc214c740a6ce74b695ac9ee67d037445fe9f29d7b2afd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakkariof Sakkari, Jeanjean
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Sakkari | 62c | 1,624$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.47 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jeanjean | 38c | 834.37$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.06 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jeanjean | 28c | 725.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Jeanjean | 19c | 539.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jeanjean | 19c | 526$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jeanjean | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jeanjean | 22c | 348.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jeanjean | 17c | 284.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jeanjean | 38c | 259.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.66 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Jeanjean | 28c | 202$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Sakkari | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jeanjean | 37c | 190.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Jeanjean | 36c | 138.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Jeanjean | 22c | 121$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Jeanjean | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sakkari | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55dc…7557backed Sakkari | 79c | 67.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jeanjean | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…223fbacked Sakkari | 66c | 30.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Sakkari | 72c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sakkari | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Maria Sakkari vs Leolia Jeanjeanthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sakkari vs JeanjeanSakkari won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.