TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Kimberly Birrell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kartalof Kartal, Birrell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Birrell22c6,840$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.3211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Kartal77c4,001$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.0718756.1%105 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kartal72c3,900$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.0176146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Birrell0c3,895$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.152,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Birrell28c1,787$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4410547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Birrell32c1,569$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Birrell28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Birrell28c1,413$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40044448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kartal76c1,407$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.782,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Birrell33c1,252$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.071,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kartal67c1,148$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7647552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kartal73c1,012$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.413,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kartal75c889.36$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kartal69c887.9$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.881,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Birrell29c872.68$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0830645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Birrell28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b46…bb95backed Kartal69c540.58$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.692878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Birrell29c418.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5131753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Birrell31c401.39$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3934842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Birrell28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Kartal69c333.52$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.039247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Birrell31c326.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Birrell30c314.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2223735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked Birrell28c309.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6619043.7%83 W · 107 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eaa…8561backed Birrell6c299.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Kartal72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7810757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4db…cb61backed Kartal73c276.49$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.159100%9 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kartal66c255$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.71,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Kartal80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x279b…2365backed Kartal74c248.65$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.657237.5%27 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Kartal72c247$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3620043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Birrell27c243$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.611,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Kartal79c242.36$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.912958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Birrell18c233.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.32,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Birrell28c229.57$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2812627.8%35 W · 91 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Birrell27c226.9$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3323945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Birrell32c215.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Birrell29c211.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3365849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Birrell33c202.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.861,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Kartal70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Birrell28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612740.2%51 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Kartal69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6226545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Kartal72c179.78$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.94683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Kartal80c173.21$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.649762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Birrell30c168.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508547.1%40 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kartal65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Birrell25c145.01$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.456,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Kartal72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894472.7%32 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Kartal73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9842046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kartal79c135.44$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.252,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kartal69c134$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.22,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Kartal79c129$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Kartal78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2142558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Birrell23c124.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.152,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Birrell29c102.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Birrell17c101.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1679…e5e1backed Kartal71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Birrell31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315626.8%15 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Birrell28c97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Birrell15c95.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Birrell28c92.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2613652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Birrell33c89.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1827543.3%119 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d5…2149backed Birrell28c68.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3218540%74 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Birrell18c68.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+64.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Birrell30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Birrell31c64.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Birrell31c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8460240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Kartal79c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7127546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Birrell33c59.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.791,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dae…a50bbacked Birrell23c55.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7215752.2%82 W · 75 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55dc…7557backed Birrell30c52.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Kartal74c50.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2758067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Kartal60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2020554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x45db…8f65backed Kartal67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…6d83backed Kartal72c48.61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Birrell30c48.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Kartal73c47.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Kartal67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7833055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3e…41c9backed Kartal73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kartal69c39.49$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.267,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…01fcbacked Kartal67c38.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8113158%76 W · 55 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kartal77c38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Kartal73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.258767.8%59 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Kartal66c30.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.155464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x908f…9901backed Kartal73c30.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Kartal70c28.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5319251.6%99 W · 93 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f6…4313backed Kartal71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Kartal72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.782,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d2…3c94backed Kartal80c27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42572%18 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949d…374cbacked Kartal71c23.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc448…d166backed Kartal80c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.61675%12 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b1…c5c4backed Kartal73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.552070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f3…2788backed Kartal70c17.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.261457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kartal74c15.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.097,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7a…c057backed Kartal73c15.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.